Palermo 1–0 Juve Stabia
What the chances were worth
The scoreline says 1–0; by chance quality the match ran 1.14–0.83.
The brain read
Little between them on chances created — the xG read 1.1–0.8, shots 16–12 with 5–3 on target. Juve Stabia's finishing let them down — 0 from 0.8 xG despite 3 of 12 shots on target (a finishing read inferred from shots on target and goals vs xG — not measured shot placement). On chances created the game was tighter than the 1–0 suggests.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance Palermo or draw | 1.11 | 84.6% | +2.3 pts |
| Double chance Juve Stabia or draw | 2.40 | 38.9% | -4.0 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.22 | 76.5% | +1.8 pts |
| Draw no bet — Palermo | 1.17 | 79.5% | +2.6 pts |
| Draw no bet — Juve Stabia | 4.53 | 20.5% | -2.6 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.27 | 73.5% | +2.3 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.91 | 49.4% | +2.3 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.20 | 29.1% | +2.4 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.93 | 47.9% | +0.2 pts |
| Palermo over 1.5 team goals | 1.69 | 55.4% | +3.8 pts |
| Juve Stabia over 1.5 team goals | 4.55 | 20.5% | -1.4 pts |
| Palermo clean sheet | 2.00 | 46.4% | +0.0 pts |
| Juve Stabia clean sheet | 5.50 | 17.2% | -1.8 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-0 5.98 · 2-0 6.70 · 1-1 7.04 · 2-1 7.64 · 0-0 9.61
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-08-23 21:10 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).
Head to head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar 26 | Palermo | 2-2 | Juve Stabia |
| 08 Nov 25 | Juve Stabia | 1-0 | Palermo |