Sporting Gijon 1–0 Burgos
What the chances were worth
The scoreline says 1–0; by chance quality the match ran 0.83–0.67.
The brain read
Little between them on chances created — the xG read 0.8–0.7, shots 9–6 with 4–0 on target. Sporting Gijon got into the box far more often (7 shots inside it to 4). On chances created the game was tighter than the 1–0 suggests.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance Sporting Gijon or draw | 1.25 | 74.5% | +4.4 pts |
| Double chance Burgos or draw | 1.67 | 56.0% | -4.9 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.34 | 69.5% | +0.5 pts |
| Draw no bet — Sporting Gijon | 1.48 | 63.1% | +6.6 pts |
| Draw no bet — Burgos | 2.52 | 36.9% | -6.6 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.45 | 64.1% | -0.3 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.43 | 38.8% | -0.7 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 4.62 | 20.2% | -0.7 pts |
| Both teams to score | 2.03 | 45.6% | -1.7 pts |
| Sporting Gijon over 1.5 team goals | 2.46 | 37.9% | +2.9 pts |
| Burgos over 1.5 team goals | 3.74 | 24.9% | -3.4 pts |
| Sporting Gijon clean sheet | 2.20 | 42.4% | +4.9 pts |
| Burgos clean sheet | 3.25 | 29.0% | -2.2 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-0 5.48 · 1-1 5.60 · 0-0 6.48 · 0-1 7.75 · 2-0 8.59
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-08-23 19:10 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).
Head to head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr 26 | Burgos | 1-0 | Sporting Gijon |
| 14 Sep 25 | Sporting Gijon | 2-3 | Burgos |