Malaga 1–1 Deportivo La Coruna
What the chances were worth
The scoreline says 1–1; by chance quality the match ran 1.97–1.11.
The brain read
Malaga created the better chances — the xG read 2–1.1, with the shot count roughly even (13–6, 2–4 on target). Malaga's finishing let them down — 1 from 2 xG despite 2 of 13 shots on target (a finishing read inferred from shots on target and goals vs xG — not measured shot placement). A draw on the scoreboard, but on chances created Malaga shaded the game.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance Malaga or draw | 1.32 | 71.4% | +3.1 pts |
| Double chance Deportivo La Coruna or draw | 1.61 | 58.8% | -4.3 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.35 | 69.8% | +1.2 pts |
| Draw no bet — Malaga | 1.60 | 58.4% | +4.8 pts |
| Draw no bet — Deportivo La Coruna | 2.25 | 41.6% | -4.8 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.41 | 67.0% | +4.1 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.25 | 42.2% | +4.7 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 4.00 | 23.3% | +4.1 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.89 | 49.4% | +4.0 pts |
| Malaga over 1.5 team goals | 2.45 | 38.2% | +6.0 pts |
| Deportivo La Coruna over 1.5 team goals | 3.19 | 29.4% | +1.0 pts |
| Malaga clean sheet | 2.58 | 35.9% | -0.3 pts |
| Deportivo La Coruna clean sheet | 3.35 | 27.8% | -5.9 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 5.66 · 1-0 6.46 · 0-0 7.64 · 0-1 8.16 · 2-1 8.80
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-08-24 21:40 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).
Head to head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr 26 | Deportivo La Coruna | 1-1 | Malaga |
| 12 Oct 25 | Malaga | 3-0 | Deportivo La Coruna |