Montpellier 0–0 Boulogne
What the chances were worth
The brain read
Boulogne carried the greater threat — shots 10–12, 5–7 on target, 7–7 from inside the box. Match xG wasn't available for this game, so this read is built on the shot picture only. Montpellier held 67% of the ball.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance Montpellier or draw | 1.17 | 80.4% | -0.1 pts |
| Double chance Boulogne or draw | 2.04 | 45.9% | +1.5 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.27 | 73.7% | -1.4 pts |
| Draw no bet — Montpellier | 1.27 | 72.8% | -0.8 pts |
| Draw no bet — Boulogne | 3.40 | 27.2% | +0.8 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.36 | 68.5% | -4.0 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.15 | 44.0% | -4.8 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.92 | 23.8% | -4.5 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.98 | 46.6% | -3.1 pts |
| Montpellier over 1.5 team goals | 1.99 | 47.0% | -5.1 pts |
| Boulogne over 1.5 team goals | 4.23 | 22.0% | -2.6 pts |
| Montpellier clean sheet | 2.20 | 42.4% | +0.0 pts |
| Boulogne clean sheet | 4.33 | 21.7% | +0.0 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-0 5.64 · 1-1 6.35 · 2-0 7.20 · 2-1 7.80 · 0-0 8.23
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-08-28 20:10 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).