Racing Santander 3–2 Elche
What the chances were worth
The scoreline says 3–2; by chance quality the match ran 1.50–0.99.
The brain read
The xG read 1.5–1 in Racing Santander's favour, but the shot count told the opposite story — 13–17 overall and 6–6 on target went Elche's way. The two pictures disagree, and aggregate counts can't see the quality of individual chances — so this reads closer than either number alone suggests. Racing Santander's finishing ran hot — 3 from 1.5 xG, 6 of 13 shots on target (a finishing read inferred from shots on target and goals vs xG — not measured shot placement).
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance Racing Santander or draw | 1.29 | 72.9% | +2.2 pts |
| Double chance Elche or draw | 1.76 | 53.5% | -3.2 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.28 | 73.6% | +1.1 pts |
| Draw no bet — Racing Santander | 1.49 | 62.8% | +3.4 pts |
| Draw no bet — Elche | 2.51 | 37.2% | -3.4 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.21 | 77.5% | +2.4 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.70 | 56.1% | +3.8 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.66 | 35.4% | +3.6 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.57 | 59.5% | +2.6 pts |
| Racing Santander over 1.5 team goals | 1.84 | 50.9% | +4.6 pts |
| Elche over 1.5 team goals | 2.57 | 36.4% | +0.5 pts |
| Racing Santander clean sheet | 3.12 | 29.9% | +0.3 pts |
| Elche clean sheet | 4.50 | 20.8% | -1.6 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 6.52 · 2-1 8.14 · 1-0 8.61 · 2-0 10.81 · 1-2 10.98
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-08-28 19:10 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).