FootballEdgeSeason 2026/27Self-updating record
Full time · Ligue 2 · Fri 28 Aug 2026, 19:00 UTC

Rodez 22 PAU

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What the chances were worth

No expected-goals numbers captured for this match.

The brain read

PAU carried the greater threat — shots 7–14, 4–2 on target, 4–7 from inside the box. Match xG wasn't available for this game, so this read is built on the shot picture only.

A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.

The match in numbers

Rodez
PAU
58%
Ball Possession
42%
7
Total Shots
14
4
Shots on Goal
2
3
Shots off Goal
11
0
Blocked Shots
1
4
Shots inside box
7
3
Shots outside box
7
4
Corner Kicks
3
423
Total passes
316
350
Passes accurate
241
83%
Passes %
76%
18
Fouls
8
2
Yellow Cards
1
0
Goalkeeper Saves
3

As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.

The market’s read

Rodez
54%
market implied · price 1.72 · opened 53%
Draw
24%
market implied · price 3.86 · opened 25%
PAU
22%
market implied · price 4.32 · opened 22%
MarketConsensus priceImplied chanceMove
Double chance Rodez or draw1.2078.0%+0.1 pts
Double chance PAU or draw2.0445.8%-0.8 pts
Double chance either team1.2376.3%+0.7 pts
Draw no bet — Rodez1.3170.5%-0.4 pts
Draw no bet — PAU3.1429.5%+0.4 pts
Over 1.5 goals1.2077.9%+1.1 pts
Over 2.5 goals1.6856.1%+1.4 pts
Over 3.5 goals2.6535.2%+1.2 pts
Both teams to score1.6356.7%+0.7 pts
Rodez over 1.5 team goals1.6955.4%+1.2 pts
PAU over 1.5 team goals3.0130.9%+0.8 pts
Rodez clean sheet2.6235.5%-2.0 pts
PAU clean sheet5.5017.2%+2.6 pts

Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 7.13 · 2-1 7.61 · 1-0 7.84 · 2-0 8.62 · 3-1 11.88

Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-08-28 20:10 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).

Prices are observations, not offers. Each price is the average across the bookmakers the collector sees, and the implied chance is that price with the bookmaker’s margin stripped out. The market’s read is published so the model’s read can be judged against it — nothing here is advice, and nothing here is staked.