FootballEdgeSeason 2026/27Self-updating record
Full time · La Liga 2 · Fri 28 Aug 2026, 20:00 UTC

Tenerife 01 Sporting Gijon

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What the chances were worth

No expected-goals numbers captured for this match.

The brain read

Tenerife carried the greater threat — shots 11–5, 4–1 on target, 6–1 from inside the box. Match xG wasn't available for this game, so this read is built on the shot picture only.

A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.

The match in numbers

Tenerife
Sporting Gijon
50%
Ball Possession
50%
11
Total Shots
5
4
Shots on Goal
1
6
Shots off Goal
3
1
Blocked Shots
1
6
Shots inside box
1
5
Shots outside box
4
4
Corner Kicks
1
4
Offsides
0
393
Total passes
398
300
Passes accurate
316
76%
Passes %
79%
13
Fouls
13
0
Yellow Cards
5
0
Goalkeeper Saves
4

As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.

The market’s read

Tenerife
42%
market implied · price 2.24 · opened 44%
Draw
30%
market implied · price 3.12 · opened 29%
Sporting Gijon
29%
market implied · price 3.26 · opened 26%
MarketConsensus priceImplied chanceMove
Double chance Tenerife or draw1.3171.1%-2.1 pts
Double chance Sporting Gijon or draw1.6058.3%+2.6 pts
Double chance either team1.3270.6%-0.5 pts
Draw no bet — Tenerife1.5859.0%-3.3 pts
Draw no bet — Sporting Gijon2.2741.0%+3.3 pts
Over 1.5 goals1.4066.9%-0.4 pts
Over 2.5 goals2.2841.4%-1.0 pts
Over 3.5 goals4.2522.0%-0.7 pts
Both teams to score1.9148.5%+0.0 pts
Tenerife over 1.5 team goals2.4637.9%-2.1 pts
Sporting Gijon over 1.5 team goals3.2628.5%+1.1 pts
Tenerife clean sheet2.6235.5%-2.0 pts
Sporting Gijon clean sheet3.4027.7%+0.0 pts

Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 5.58 · 1-0 6.01 · 0-0 7.46 · 0-1 7.58 · 2-1 8.45

Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-08-28 21:10 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).

Prices are observations, not offers. Each price is the average across the bookmakers the collector sees, and the implied chance is that price with the bookmaker’s margin stripped out. The market’s read is published so the model’s read can be judged against it — nothing here is advice, and nothing here is staked.