VfL Bochum 0–1 VfL Osnabrück
What the chances were worth
The scoreline says 0–1; by chance quality the match ran 1.39–0.42.
The brain read
VfL Bochum created the better chances — the xG read 1.4–0.4 and the shot count agreed (19–8, 1–2 on target). VfL Bochum got into the box far more often (11 shots inside it to 4) and VfL Bochum held 65% of the ball. VfL Bochum's finishing let them down — 0 from 1.4 xG despite 1 of 19 shots on target (a finishing read inferred from shots on target and goals vs xG — not measured shot placement). The 0–1 flatters VfL Osnabrück — on chances created, VfL Bochum shaded it.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance VfL Bochum or draw | 1.20 | 78.2% | -2.0 pts |
| Double chance VfL Osnabrück or draw | 2.04 | 45.9% | +3.0 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.23 | 75.9% | -1.0 pts |
| Draw no bet — VfL Bochum | 1.30 | 71.1% | -3.1 pts |
| Draw no bet — VfL Osnabrück | 3.21 | 28.9% | +3.1 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.19 | 78.1% | +1.2 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.67 | 56.4% | +1.3 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.62 | 35.6% | +1.3 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.62 | 57.0% | +2.3 pts |
| VfL Bochum over 1.5 team goals | 1.68 | 55.7% | -0.8 pts |
| VfL Osnabrück over 1.5 team goals | 3.01 | 31.0% | +3.0 pts |
| VfL Bochum clean sheet | 2.75 | 33.7% | -3.8 pts |
| VfL Osnabrück clean sheet | 5.50 | 17.2% | +1.4 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 7.00 · 2-1 7.57 · 1-0 7.88 · 2-0 8.76 · 3-1 11.97
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-08-28 18:40 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).