Albacete 0–1 Oviedo
What the chances were worth
The scoreline says 0–1; by chance quality the match ran 0.96–1.36.
The brain read
Oviedo created the better chances — the xG read 1–1.4 and the shot count agreed (9–9, 2–5 on target). Albacete held 63% of the ball. Albacete's finishing let them down — 0 from 1 xG despite 2 of 9 shots on target (a finishing read inferred from shots on target and goals vs xG — not measured shot placement). On the balance of chances, the 0–1 reads fair.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance Albacete or draw | 1.35 | 69.2% | -0.3 pts |
| Double chance Oviedo or draw | 1.53 | 61.1% | +0.4 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.34 | 69.7% | -0.1 pts |
| Draw no bet — Albacete | 1.67 | 55.6% | -0.5 pts |
| Draw no bet — Oviedo | 2.09 | 44.4% | +0.5 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.44 | 64.8% | -0.1 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.40 | 39.3% | -0.5 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 4.56 | 20.4% | -0.4 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.98 | 46.7% | -0.5 pts |
| Albacete over 1.5 team goals | 2.71 | 34.4% | -0.6 pts |
| Oviedo over 1.5 team goals | 3.22 | 28.9% | +0.3 pts |
| Albacete clean sheet | 2.62 | 35.5% | -2.0 pts |
| Oviedo clean sheet | 3.00 | 31.2% | +0.0 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 5.55 · 1-0 6.08 · 0-0 6.92 · 0-1 7.06 · 2-1 8.93
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-08-29 19:10 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).