Leganes 1–0 Eldense
What the chances were worth
The scoreline says 1–0; by chance quality the match ran 1.63–1.01.
The brain read
Leganes created the better chances — the xG read 1.6–1, with the shot count roughly even (11–16, 6–4 on target). Eldense's finishing let them down — 0 from 1 xG despite 4 of 16 shots on target (a finishing read inferred from shots on target and goals vs xG — not measured shot placement). On the balance of chances, the 1–0 reads fair.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance Leganes or draw | 1.23 | 76.4% | +3.0 pts |
| Double chance Eldense or draw | 1.86 | 50.4% | -3.2 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.28 | 73.2% | +0.3 pts |
| Draw no bet — Leganes | 1.37 | 67.4% | +4.5 pts |
| Draw no bet — Eldense | 2.83 | 32.6% | -4.5 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.32 | 70.5% | -1.1 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.05 | 45.9% | -1.8 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.64 | 25.6% | -1.8 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.85 | 50.0% | -2.4 pts |
| Leganes over 1.5 team goals | 2.04 | 45.7% | +0.7 pts |
| Eldense over 1.5 team goals | 3.49 | 26.6% | -3.3 pts |
| Leganes clean sheet | 2.38 | 39.1% | +5.4 pts |
| Eldense clean sheet | 4.00 | 23.4% | -1.6 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-0 6.04 · 1-1 6.10 · 2-1 7.87 · 2-0 7.89 · 0-0 8.36
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-08-29 19:10 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).