FootballEdgeSeason 2026/27Self-updating record
Full time · La Liga 2 · Sun 30 Aug 2026, 18:00 UTC

Cadiz 11 Valladolid

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What the chances were worth

Cadiz
1.24
expected goals (xG)
Valladolid
1.07
expected goals (xG)

The scoreline says 1–1; by chance quality the match ran 1.24–1.07.

The brain read

Little between them on chances created — the xG read 1.2–1.1, shots 10–11 with 2–5 on target. A 1–1 draw the numbers agree with.

A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.

The match in numbers

Cadiz
Valladolid
51%
Ball Possession
49%
10
Total Shots
11
2
Shots on Goal
5
5
Shots off Goal
3
3
Blocked Shots
3
5
Shots inside box
4
5
Shots outside box
7
4
Corner Kicks
5
3
Offsides
2
479
Total passes
458
397
Passes accurate
379
83%
Passes %
83%
16
Fouls
12
4
Yellow Cards
4
6
Goalkeeper Saves
1

As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.

The market’s read

Cadiz
36%
market implied · price 2.58 · opened 42%
Draw
31%
market implied · price 3.03 · opened 30%
Valladolid
33%
market implied · price 2.81 · opened 28%
MarketConsensus priceImplied chanceMove
Double chance Cadiz or draw1.4066.5%-5.4 pts
Double chance Valladolid or draw1.4663.8%+6.0 pts
Double chance either team1.3469.7%-0.6 pts
Draw no bet — Cadiz1.7952.1%-7.8 pts
Draw no bet — Valladolid1.9547.9%+7.8 pts
Over 1.5 goals1.4166.7%-0.1 pts
Over 2.5 goals2.2841.2%-0.8 pts
Over 3.5 goals4.2422.1%-0.7 pts
Both teams to score1.9048.6%+0.2 pts
Cadiz over 1.5 team goals2.7234.2%-4.5 pts
Valladolid over 1.5 team goals2.9231.8%+3.5 pts
Cadiz clean sheet2.7533.7%-3.8 pts
Valladolid clean sheet3.0031.2%+3.5 pts

Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 5.38 · 1-0 6.52 · 0-1 6.94 · 0-0 7.19 · 2-1 9.18

Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-08-30 16:30 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).

Prices are observations, not offers. Each price is the average across the bookmakers the collector sees, and the implied chance is that price with the bookmaker’s margin stripped out. The market’s read is published so the model’s read can be judged against it — nothing here is advice, and nothing here is staked.

Head to head

DateHomeScoreAway
31 Mar 26Valladolid3-0Cadiz
09 Nov 25Cadiz0-0Valladolid