Deportivo La Coruna 3–1 Valencia
What the chances were worth
The scoreline says 3–1; by chance quality the match ran 1.42–1.33.
The brain read
Little between them on chances created — the xG read 1.4–1.3, shots 11–12 with 4–4 on target. Deportivo La Coruna's finishing ran hot — 3 from 1.4 xG, 4 of 11 shots on target (a finishing read inferred from shots on target and goals vs xG — not measured shot placement). On chances created the game was tighter than the 3–1 suggests.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance Deportivo La Coruna or draw | 1.37 | 68.6% | +1.5 pts |
| Double chance Valencia or draw | 1.50 | 62.8% | -0.7 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.37 | 68.7% | -0.8 pts |
| Draw no bet — Deportivo La Coruna | 1.72 | 54.2% | +1.8 pts |
| Draw no bet — Valencia | 2.04 | 45.8% | -1.8 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.47 | 64.0% | -2.0 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.50 | 38.1% | -2.6 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 4.81 | 19.6% | -2.5 pts |
| Both teams to score | 2.00 | 46.5% | -1.8 pts |
| Deportivo La Coruna over 1.5 team goals | 2.82 | 33.1% | -1.0 pts |
| Valencia over 1.5 team goals | 3.24 | 28.9% | -2.3 pts |
| Deportivo La Coruna clean sheet | 2.61 | 35.6% | +1.8 pts |
| Valencia clean sheet | 2.83 | 32.8% | +1.5 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 5.50 · 1-0 6.32 · 0-0 6.87 · 0-1 7.10 · 2-1 9.53
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-08-30 17:00 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).