FootballEdgeSeason 2026/27Self-updating record
Full time · 2. Bundesliga · Sun 30 Aug 2026, 12:30 UTC

SV Darmstadt 98 01 Hannover 96

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What the chances were worth

SV Darmstadt 98
0.91
expected goals (xG)
Hannover 96
2.31
expected goals (xG)

The scoreline says 0–1; by chance quality the match ran 0.91–2.31.

The brain read

Hannover 96 created the better chances — the xG read 0.9–2.3 and the shot count agreed (11–26, 3–7 on target). Hannover 96 got into the box far more often (17 shots inside it to 8) and Hannover 96 held 67% of the ball. SV Darmstadt 98's finishing let them down — 0 from 0.9 xG despite 3 of 11 shots on target (a finishing read inferred from shots on target and goals vs xG — not measured shot placement). On the balance of chances, the 0–1 reads fair.

A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.

The match in numbers

SV Darmstadt 98
Hannover 96
33%
Ball Possession
67%
11
Total Shots
26
3
Shots on Goal
7
7
Shots off Goal
10
1
Blocked Shots
9
8
Shots inside box
17
3
Shots outside box
9
0.91
Expected goals (xG)
2.31
2
Corner Kicks
11
1
Offsides
5
316
Total passes
654
232
Passes accurate
574
73%
Passes %
88%
8
Fouls
12
1
Yellow Cards
2
1
Red Cards
0
6
Goalkeeper Saves
3
0.64
Goals prevented
0.64

As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.

Confirmed line-ups

Captured from the official team sheets in the last hour before kick-off. The pick test requires these to be in before any call counts.

SV Darmstadt 98 4-1-4-1

  1. 1 Marcel Schuhen (G)
  2. 6 Patric Pfeiffer (D)
  3. 7 Noah Weißhaupt (M)
  4. 10 Nicolas Verkooijen (M)
  5. 16 Hiroki Akiyama (M)
  6. 18 Raoul Petretta (D)
  7. 20 Aleksandar Vukotić (D)
  8. 28 Christopher Lannert (D)
  9. 36 Milan Smit (F)
  10. 41 Lance Duijvestijn (M)
  11. 44 Yosuke Furukawa (M)

Bench: Alexander Brunst, Yannik Lührs, Grayson Dettoni, Carlo Sickinger, Florian Kleinhansl, Lars Kehl, Ibrahim El Kadiri, Manolo Merx, Lee Ho-jae

Hannover 96 3-4-3

  1. 3 Boris Tomiak (D)
  2. 8 Waniss Taibi (F)
  3. 10 Marcel Hartel (M)
  4. 11 Benedikt Pichler (F)
  5. 13 Franz Roggow (M)
  6. 17 Bastian Allgeier (D)
  7. 20 Ime Okon (D)
  8. 25 Lars Timo Gindorf (F)
  9. 29 Kolja Oudenne (M)
  10. 30 Leo Weinkauf (G)
  11. 33 Maurice Neubauer (M)

Bench: Pascal Loretz, Virgil Ghiță, Hayate Matsuda, Jasper Reinhold, Mustapha Bundu, Yunus Unal, Benjamin Källman, Taycan Etcibasi, Husseyn Chakroun

The market’s read

SV Darmstadt 98
31%
market implied · price 3.01 · opened 30%
Draw
25%
market implied · price 3.71 · opened 25%
Hannover 96
44%
market implied · price 2.15 · opened 45%
MarketConsensus priceImplied chanceMove
Double chance SV Darmstadt 98 or draw1.6855.7%+0.9 pts
Double chance Hannover 96 or draw1.3569.1%-0.5 pts
Double chance either team1.2575.2%-0.4 pts
Draw no bet — SV Darmstadt 982.2341.5%+0.5 pts
Draw no bet — Hannover 961.5958.5%-0.5 pts
Over 1.5 goals1.1581.2%-0.4 pts
Over 2.5 goals1.5261.3%-0.6 pts
Over 3.5 goals2.3240.6%-1.1 pts
Both teams to score1.4563.6%-0.6 pts
SV Darmstadt 98 over 1.5 team goals2.1942.7%-0.1 pts
Hannover 96 over 1.5 team goals1.7752.8%-0.8 pts
SV Darmstadt 98 clean sheet5.5017.2%+0.0 pts
Hannover 96 clean sheet3.7525.0%+0.0 pts

Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 7.14 · 1-2 8.32 · 2-1 10.06 · 0-1 10.51 · 2-2 10.66

Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-08-30 11:00 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).

Prices are observations, not offers. Each price is the average across the bookmakers the collector sees, and the implied chance is that price with the bookmaker’s margin stripped out. The market’s read is published so the model’s read can be judged against it — nothing here is advice, and nothing here is staked.

Head to head

DateHomeScoreAway
08 Nov 25Hannover 962-3SV Darmstadt 98