Burgos 2–2 Real Sociedad II
What the chances were worth
The scoreline says 2–2; by chance quality the match ran 2.65–2.24.
The brain read
The xG read 2.6–2.2 in Burgos's favour, but the shot count told the opposite story — 10–14 overall and 4–5 on target went Real Sociedad II's way. The two pictures disagree, and aggregate counts can't see the quality of individual chances — so this reads closer than either number alone suggests.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance Burgos or draw | 1.18 | 79.4% | -0.1 pts |
| Double chance Real Sociedad II or draw | 1.96 | 47.8% | +0.4 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.28 | 72.8% | -0.3 pts |
| Draw no bet — Burgos | 1.30 | 71.4% | +0.1 pts |
| Draw no bet — Real Sociedad II | 3.24 | 28.6% | -0.1 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.36 | 68.9% | +0.1 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.14 | 44.0% | -0.2 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.88 | 24.1% | -0.5 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.95 | 47.4% | +0.2 pts |
| Burgos over 1.5 team goals | 2.03 | 45.9% | -0.5 pts |
| Real Sociedad II over 1.5 team goals | 3.99 | 23.3% | +0.4 pts |
| Burgos clean sheet | 2.20 | 42.4% | +0.0 pts |
| Real Sociedad II clean sheet | 4.33 | 21.7% | -1.7 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-0 5.53 · 1-1 6.00 · 2-0 7.35 · 2-1 7.61 · 0-0 7.97
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-08-31 16:30 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).
Head to head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May 26 | Real Sociedad II | 0-0 | Burgos |
| 25 Oct 25 | Burgos | 1-0 | Real Sociedad II |