Dijon 2–3 Saint Etienne
What the chances were worth
The brain read
Saint Etienne carried the greater threat — shots 13–16, 7–11 on target, 9–11 from inside the box. Match xG wasn't available for this game, so this read is built on the shot picture only.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
Confirmed line-ups
Captured from the official team sheets in the last hour before kick-off. The pick test requires these to be in before any call counts.
Dijon 4-1-3-2
- 5 Quentin Bernard (D)
- 8 Paul Bellon (M)
- 9 Tyris Dong (M)
- 11 Júlio Tavares (F)
- 16 Paul Delecroix (G)
- 17 Adel Lembezat (M)
- 18 Brandon Ndezi (M)
- 21 Samy Chouchane (F)
- 23 Lenny Lacroix (D)
- 31 Moussa Faty (D)
- 93 Ismail Bouleghcha (D)
Bench: Ylann Marie-Rose, Waly Diouf, Hugo Vargas-Ríos, Ben-Chayeel Hamada, Jordan Marié, Ylan Aka, Mickaël Barreto, Yanis Barka, Alexis Ntamack
Saint Etienne 4-2-3-1
- 6 Maxime Bernauer (D)
- 7 Irvin Cardona (F)
- 8 Thierno Ballo (M)
- 14 Áron Csongvai (M)
- 16 Tamar Svetlin (M)
- 18 Sohaib Nair (D)
- 20 Augustine Boakye (M)
- 22 Zuriko Davitashvili (M)
- 23 Kevin Pedro (D)
- 26 Julien Le Cardinal (D)
- 30 Gautier Larsonneur (G)
Bench: Mamour Ndiaye, Lucas Lavallée, Nathan Kasia Nkondo, Adam Baallal, Nadir El Jamali, Modibo Sissoko, Benjamin Old, Joshua Duffus
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance Dijon or draw | 2.12 | 44.2% | -5.3 pts |
| Double chance Saint Etienne or draw | 1.16 | 80.4% | +3.6 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.24 | 75.5% | +1.7 pts |
| Draw no bet — Dijon | 3.51 | 26.3% | -5.5 pts |
| Draw no bet — Saint Etienne | 1.25 | 73.7% | +5.5 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.28 | 73.3% | +1.1 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.89 | 49.9% | +1.7 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.23 | 29.0% | +1.3 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.82 | 50.7% | -0.7 pts |
| Dijon over 1.5 team goals | 3.75 | 24.8% | -2.5 pts |
| Saint Etienne over 1.5 team goals | 1.79 | 52.1% | +4.0 pts |
| Dijon clean sheet | 4.33 | 21.7% | +0.0 pts |
| Saint Etienne clean sheet | 2.50 | 37.5% | +0.0 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 0-1 6.33 · 1-1 6.72 · 0-2 7.44 · 1-2 7.57 · 0-0 10.09
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-08-31 18:30 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).