Boulogne 1–1 Dijon
What the chances were worth
The brain read
Dijon carried the greater threat — shots 15–12, 3–6 on target, 10–8 from inside the box. Match xG wasn't available for this game, so this read is built on the shot picture only.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
Confirmed line-ups
Captured from the official team sheets in the last hour before kick-off. The pick test requires these to be in before any call counts.
Boulogne 5-3-2
- 8 J. Martin (M)
- 10 A. Hbouch (F)
- 12 J. Boyer (D)
- 15 A. Pinot (D)
- 17 B. Besic (F)
- 18 D. Thiam (D)
- 19 N. Binet (M)
- 21 A. Platret (D)
- 25 A. Kerriou (D)
- 64 T. Epailly (M)
- 99 Blondy Rudolph Nna Noukeu (G)
Bench: J. Bultel, L. Etonde, N. Fatar, O. Lenne, X. Lenogue, M. Mion, A. Nassiri, Sohan Paillard, M. Soumah
Dijon 4-1-3-2
- 4 M. Barreto (M)
- 6 W. Diouf (D)
- 7 B. Hamada (D)
- 9 T. Dong (F)
- 14 J. Marié (M)
- 16 P. Delecroix (G)
- 18 B. Ndezi (M)
- 21 Samy Olivier Chouchane (M)
- 23 L. Lacroix (D)
- 29 A. Ntamack (F)
- 31 M. Faty (D)
Bench: H. Mimoune, A. Lembezat, A. Lago, Enzo Ketterle, Q. Bernard, P. Bellon, A. Bargain, Y. Aka, H. Vargas-Ríos
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance Boulogne or draw | 1.48 | 63.1% | -1.3 pts |
| Double chance Dijon or draw | 1.39 | 67.1% | +1.7 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.34 | 69.8% | -0.3 pts |
| Draw no bet — Boulogne | 1.94 | 47.8% | -1.2 pts |
| Draw no bet — Dijon | 1.78 | 52.2% | +1.2 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.42 | 66.4% | +0.9 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.30 | 40.8% | +0.4 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 4.34 | 21.6% | +0.4 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.93 | 48.1% | +1.1 pts |
| Boulogne over 1.5 team goals | 3.00 | 31.0% | -1.2 pts |
| Dijon over 1.5 team goals | 2.73 | 34.1% | +1.7 pts |
| Boulogne clean sheet | 3.00 | 31.2% | -2.5 pts |
| Dijon clean sheet | 2.62 | 35.5% | +0.0 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 5.61 · 0-1 6.52 · 1-0 7.13 · 0-0 7.23 · 1-2 9.28
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-09-04 17:30 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).