Ipswich 0–2 Liverpool
What the chances were worth
The scoreline says 0–2; by chance quality the match ran 0.75–0.69.
The brain read
Little between them on chances created — the xG read 0.8–0.7, shots 14–10 with 5–7 on target. Liverpool's finishing ran hot — 2 from 0.7 xG, 7 of 10 shots on target (a finishing read inferred from shots on target and goals vs xG — not measured shot placement). On chances created the game was tighter than the 0–2 suggests.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance Ipswich or draw | 2.52 | 37.5% | -1.8 pts |
| Double chance Liverpool or draw | 1.15 | 82.2% | +0.8 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.18 | 80.3% | +1.0 pts |
| Draw no bet — Ipswich | 4.13 | 22.5% | -1.6 pts |
| Draw no bet — Liverpool | 1.20 | 77.5% | +1.6 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.11 | 84.8% | +2.7 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.42 | 66.4% | +3.7 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.08 | 45.8% | +4.3 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.51 | 62.1% | +2.9 pts |
| Ipswich over 1.5 team goals | 2.83 | 32.9% | +1.9 pts |
| Liverpool over 1.5 team goals | 1.40 | 67.0% | +3.7 pts |
| Ipswich clean sheet | 10.00 | 9.6% | -4.0 pts |
| Liverpool clean sheet | 2.77 | 33.4% | -1.2 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-2 8.04 · 1-1 9.29 · 0-2 9.54 · 1-3 10.01 · 0-1 10.59
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-09-04 18:30 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).