Las Palmas 0–0 Leganes
What the chances were worth
The scoreline says 0–0; by chance quality the match ran 0.28–1.17.
The brain read
Leganes created the better chances — the xG read 0.3–1.2 and the shot count agreed (3–10, 1–2 on target). Leganes got into the box far more often (7 shots inside it to 2). Leganes's finishing let them down — 0 from 1.2 xG despite 2 of 10 shots on target (a finishing read inferred from shots on target and goals vs xG — not measured shot placement). A draw on the scoreboard, but on chances created Leganes shaded the game.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
Confirmed line-ups
Captured from the official team sheets in the last hour before kick-off. The pick test requires these to be in before any call counts.
Las Palmas 4-4-2
- 4 Álex Suárez (D)
- 6 Iñaki González Zambrano (M)
- 7 Jefté Betancor (F)
- 11 T. Miyashiro (M)
- 13 José Caro (G)
- 14 Manu Fuster (M)
- 15 Juan Herzog (D)
- 19 Sandro Ramírez (F)
- 20 Kirian Rodríguez (M)
- 21 G. Bonfanti (D)
- 25 Valentín Pezzolesi (D)
Bench: A. Bassinga, Enrique Clemente, Rafael Cruz Suarez, Iván Jaime, E. Loiodice, I. Medina, Andrés Rodríguez Martínez, Elías Romero, Adrián Suárez, Jorge Valverde Dios, Mateo Acimovic
Leganes 4-4-2
- 2 Marvel (D)
- 5 Ignasi Miquel (D)
- 6 Lalo Aguilar (D)
- 7 Rubén Peña (M)
- 8 Y. Kechta (M)
- 10 Z. Buurmeester (M)
- 11 Naim García (D)
- 13 L. Zidane (G)
- 17 Ismaël Gharbi (F)
- 20 Miguel Atienza (M)
- 21 Álvaro Morata (F)
Bench: Javi Montero, Álex Millán, Rubén Pulido, Dani Rodríguez, Álex Sancris, Nicolás Lozano, D. Hamansenya, Raúl Fernández, Suleiman El Haddadi Mohamed, Andrés Campos, P. Soko
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance Las Palmas or draw | 1.24 | 75.3% | -2.1 pts |
| Double chance Leganes or draw | 1.82 | 51.6% | +2.2 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.28 | 73.1% | -0.1 pts |
| Draw no bet — Las Palmas | 1.41 | 65.8% | -3.0 pts |
| Draw no bet — Leganes | 2.70 | 34.2% | +3.0 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.27 | 73.9% | +2.2 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.89 | 50.2% | +2.7 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.12 | 30.1% | +2.9 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.71 | 54.5% | +4.0 pts |
| Las Palmas over 1.5 team goals | 1.95 | 47.8% | +0.2 pts |
| Leganes over 1.5 team goals | 3.07 | 30.3% | +3.9 pts |
| Las Palmas clean sheet | 2.75 | 33.7% | -3.8 pts |
| Leganes clean sheet | 4.33 | 21.7% | +0.0 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 6.03 · 1-0 6.89 · 2-1 7.63 · 2-0 8.97 · 0-0 9.36
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-09-04 18:00 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).
Head to head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr 26 | Las Palmas | 2-0 | Leganes |
| 20 Sep 25 | Leganes | 0-1 | Las Palmas |