Borussia Mönchengladbach 3–4 SV Elversberg
What the chances were worth
The scoreline says 3–4; by chance quality the match ran 2.36–2.31.
The brain read
Little between them on chances created — the xG read 2.4–2.3, shots 25–14 with 6–10 on target. Borussia Mönchengladbach got into the box far more often (19 shots inside it to 10). SV Elversberg's finishing ran hot — 4 from 2.3 xG, 10 of 14 shots on target (a finishing read inferred from shots on target and goals vs xG — not measured shot placement). On chances created the game was tighter than the 3–4 suggests.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
Confirmed line-ups
Captured from the official team sheets in the last hour before kick-off. The pick test requires these to be in before any call counts.
Borussia Mönchengladbach 4-2-3-1
- 1 M. Nicolas (G)
- 4 K. Diks (D)
- 6 K. Itakura (D)
- 9 F. Honorat (M)
- 11 T. Kleindienst (F)
- 16 P. Sander (M)
- 26 L. Ullrich (D)
- 29 J. Scally (D)
- 34 M. Nguefack (M)
- 36 W. Mohya (M)
- 38 H. Bolin (M)
Bench: S. Machino, K. Stöger, D. Batz, F. Chiarodia, R. Hack, D. Herold, N. Kühn, J. Leszczyński, I. Lidberg
SV Elversberg 4-2-3-1
- 8 Ł. Poręba (M)
- 19 L. Pinckert (D)
- 20 N. Kristof (G)
- 21 L. Günther (D)
- 25 L. Petkov (M)
- 30 J. Gyamerah (D)
- 31 M. Rohr (D)
- 39 William Cole Campbell (M)
- 40 Francis-Ikechukwu Onyeka (M)
- 42 D. Mokwa (F)
- 43 F. Keidel (M)
Bench: A. Condé, Noah Darvich, N. Futkeu, M. Krattenmacher, F. Le Joncour, N. Mickelson, L. Schnellbacher, L. Sirch, T. Boss
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance Borussia Mönchengladbach or draw | 1.28 | 74.3% | -2.2 pts |
| Double chance SV Elversberg or draw | 1.90 | 49.9% | +2.2 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.25 | 75.8% | -0.0 pts |
| Draw no bet — Borussia Mönchengladbach | 1.41 | 65.6% | -2.8 pts |
| Draw no bet — SV Elversberg | 2.69 | 34.4% | +2.8 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.10 | 83.8% | +3.6 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.46 | 64.2% | +4.7 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.17 | 44.1% | +5.4 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.44 | 64.7% | +4.5 pts |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach over 1.5 team goals | 1.61 | 58.7% | +2.3 pts |
| SV Elversberg over 1.5 team goals | 2.37 | 39.9% | +4.9 pts |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach clean sheet | 3.40 | 27.7% | -2.2 pts |
| SV Elversberg clean sheet | 6.00 | 15.7% | -0.9 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 7.58 · 2-1 8.22 · 2-2 10.75 · 1-0 11.00 · 2-0 11.55
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-09-05 13:01 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).