Carrarese 0–1 Empoli
What the chances were worth
The scoreline says 0–1; by chance quality the match ran 0.77–0.70.
The brain read
Little between them on chances created — the xG read 0.8–0.7, shots 9–16 with 5–2 on target. On chances created the game was tighter than the 0–1 suggests.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
Confirmed line-ups
Captured from the official team sheets in the last hour before kick-off. The pick test requires these to be in before any call counts.
Carrarese 3-5-2
- 1 S. Pizzignacco (G)
- 6 F. Oliana (D)
- 9 F. Abiuso (F)
- 11 M. Cissé (F)
- 13 F. Ruggeri (D)
- 17 L. Topalović (M)
- 18 Nicolás Schiavi (M)
- 33 F. Reale (M)
- 41 L. Romani (D)
- 73 J. Rouhi (M)
- 77 G. Parlanti (M)
Bench: N. Bonfanti, M. Braunöder, N. Cudrig, M. Finotto, G. Garofani, Y. Khafi, T. Macchioni, J. Martini, P. Pinelli, N. Ravaglia, Gonçalo Esteves, N. Belloni
Empoli 3-4-2-1
- 8 L. Magnino (M)
- 10 E. Saporiti (M)
- 11 S. Shpendi (F)
- 12 J. Seghetti (G)
- 15 J. Ceesay (M)
- 21 Gerard Yepes (M)
- 25 M. Curto (D)
- 33 C. Cauz (D)
- 35 M. Egan (D)
- 39 E. Biondini (M)
- 91 N. Corrado (M)
Bench: L. Belardinelli, F. Bandinelli, D. Bembnista, R. Berizzi, D. Degli Innocenti, L. Deli, F. Distefano, G. Indragoli, S. Perisan, B. Popov, S. Romagnoli, K. Zedadka
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance Carrarese or draw | 1.36 | 68.7% | +0.4 pts |
| Double chance Empoli or draw | 1.52 | 61.3% | -0.2 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.33 | 70.0% | -0.2 pts |
| Draw no bet — Carrarese | 1.71 | 54.3% | -0.7 pts |
| Draw no bet — Empoli | 2.03 | 45.7% | +0.7 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.30 | 71.2% | +2.1 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.04 | 46.2% | +1.9 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.58 | 25.9% | +1.8 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.78 | 52.2% | +1.5 pts |
| Carrarese over 1.5 team goals | 2.42 | 38.7% | +1.5 pts |
| Empoli over 1.5 team goals | 2.84 | 33.0% | +0.7 pts |
| Carrarese clean sheet | 2.75 | 33.7% | +0.0 pts |
| Empoli clean sheet | 3.40 | 27.7% | +0.0 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 5.87 · 1-0 7.44 · 0-1 8.58 · 0-0 8.60 · 2-1 8.92
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-09-05 17:00 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).
Head to head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan 26 | Carrarese | 3-0 | Empoli |
| 28 Sep 25 | Empoli | 2-2 | Carrarese |