Metz 4–1 Rodez
What the chances were worth
The brain read
Metz carried the greater threat — shots 19–19, 8–6 on target, 15–15 from inside the box. Match xG wasn't available for this game, so this read is built on the shot picture only.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance Metz or draw | 1.27 | 73.6% | +2.0 pts |
| Double chance Rodez or draw | 1.75 | 53.5% | -2.0 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.28 | 73.0% | -0.0 pts |
| Draw no bet — Metz | 1.48 | 62.9% | +2.0 pts |
| Draw no bet — Rodez | 2.51 | 37.1% | -2.0 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 77.0% | +0.3 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.72 | 54.6% | +0.1 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.73 | 34.0% | -0.0 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.59 | 58.2% | -0.3 pts |
| Metz over 1.5 team goals | 1.88 | 49.8% | +0.9 pts |
| Rodez over 1.5 team goals | 2.67 | 35.1% | -1.3 pts |
| Metz clean sheet | 3.00 | 31.2% | +2.2 pts |
| Rodez clean sheet | 5.00 | 19.0% | -1.8 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 6.42 · 2-1 8.36 · 1-0 8.58 · 2-0 10.70 · 1-2 11.40
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-09-05 11:30 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).