FootballEdgeSeason 2026/27Self-updating record
Full time · La Liga 2 · Sat 05 Sep 2026, 13:00 UTC

Real Sociedad II 11 Tenerife

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What the chances were worth

Real Sociedad II
0.53
expected goals (xG)
Tenerife
0.55
expected goals (xG)

The scoreline says 1–1; by chance quality the match ran 0.53–0.55.

The brain read

Little between them on chances created — the xG read 0.5–0.6, shots 8–4 with 1–1 on target. A 1–1 draw the numbers agree with.

A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.

The match in numbers

Real Sociedad II
Tenerife
56%
Ball Possession
44%
8
Total Shots
4
1
Shots on Goal
1
4
Shots off Goal
2
3
Blocked Shots
1
4
Shots inside box
2
4
Shots outside box
2
2
Corner Kicks
3
3
Offsides
3
479
Total passes
364
408
Passes accurate
281
13
Fouls
12
2
Yellow Cards
4
0
Red Cards
0
12
Free Kicks
12

As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.

The market’s read

Real Sociedad II
37%
market implied · price 2.54 · opened 36%
Draw
30%
market implied · price 3.10 · opened 30%
Tenerife
33%
market implied · price 2.83 · opened 34%
MarketConsensus priceImplied chanceMove
Double chance Real Sociedad II or draw1.4067.0%+1.4 pts
Double chance Tenerife or draw1.4963.0%-1.0 pts
Double chance either team1.3470.0%-0.4 pts
Draw no bet — Real Sociedad II1.7552.9%+1.5 pts
Draw no bet — Tenerife1.9747.1%-1.5 pts
Over 1.5 goals1.3469.0%+0.5 pts
Over 2.5 goals2.1344.3%+0.6 pts
Over 3.5 goals3.8124.4%+0.6 pts
Both teams to score1.8250.7%+0.2 pts
Real Sociedad II over 1.5 team goals2.5636.6%+1.2 pts
Tenerife over 1.5 team goals2.7933.5%-0.2 pts
Real Sociedad II clean sheet2.7533.7%+2.5 pts
Tenerife clean sheet3.4027.7%-1.4 pts

Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 5.68 · 1-0 7.10 · 0-1 7.72 · 0-0 8.02 · 2-1 9.30

Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-09-05 11:30 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).

Prices are observations, not offers. Each price is the average across the bookmakers the collector sees, and the implied chance is that price with the bookmaker’s margin stripped out. The market’s read is published so the model’s read can be judged against it — nothing here is advice, and nothing here is staked.