Saint Etienne 3–1 Montpellier
What the chances were worth
The brain read
Saint Etienne carried the greater threat — shots 14–7, 5–3 on target, 8–5 from inside the box. Match xG wasn't available for this game, so this read is built on the shot picture only.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
Confirmed line-ups
Captured from the official team sheets in the last hour before kick-off. The pick test requires these to be in before any call counts.
Saint Etienne 4-2-3-1
- 6 M. Bernauer (D)
- 7 I. Cardona (F)
- 8 T. Ballo (M)
- 14 Á. Csongvai (M)
- 16 T. Svetlin (M)
- 18 S. Nair (D)
- 20 A. Boakye (M)
- 22 Z. Davitashvili (M)
- 23 K. Pedro (D)
- 26 J. Le Cardinal (D)
- 30 G. Larsonneur (G)
Bench: N. El Jamali, Adam Baallal, J. Breum, Chico Lamba, João Ferreira, M. Jaber, J. Duffus, Mamour Ndiaye, B. Old
Montpellier 4-2-3-1
- 3 Y. El Hannach (D)
- 5 F. Tardieu (M)
- 6 Y. Mouanga (D)
- 9 Lacine Megnan-Pave (F)
- 15 J. Laporte (D)
- 17 T. Sainte-Luce (D)
- 18 N. Pays (M)
- 19 N. Mukiele (M)
- 27 D. Meddah (M)
- 31 S. Ngapandouetnbu (G)
- 32 Hichem Abderrebi (M)
Bench: Daryll Benlahlou, M. Camara, T. Chennahi, J. Hatchi, M. Michel, Everson, N. Vidal-Cartoux
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance Saint Etienne or draw | 1.14 | 82.5% | +0.5 pts |
| Double chance Montpellier or draw | 2.33 | 40.2% | -0.1 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.21 | 77.4% | -0.4 pts |
| Draw no bet — Saint Etienne | 1.21 | 77.2% | +0.4 pts |
| Draw no bet — Montpellier | 4.08 | 22.8% | -0.4 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 78.0% | -0.4 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.68 | 55.9% | -1.2 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.65 | 35.0% | -1.1 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.72 | 53.8% | -1.1 pts |
| Saint Etienne over 1.5 team goals | 1.58 | 59.0% | -0.1 pts |
| Montpellier over 1.5 team goals | 3.65 | 25.7% | -0.9 pts |
| Saint Etienne clean sheet | 2.38 | 39.1% | +1.6 pts |
| Montpellier clean sheet | 6.50 | 14.6% | -2.6 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 7.38 · 1-0 7.50 · 2-0 7.75 · 2-1 7.75 · 3-0 11.38
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-09-05 17:30 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).