Sporting Gijon 0–2 Girona
What the chances were worth
The scoreline says 0–2; by chance quality the match ran 2.52–0.91.
The brain read
Sporting Gijon created the better chances — the xG read 2.5–0.9 and the shot count agreed (20–10, 5–3 on target). Sporting Gijon got into the box far more often (12 shots inside it to 6). Sporting Gijon's finishing let them down — 0 from 2.5 xG despite 5 of 20 shots on target (a finishing read inferred from shots on target and goals vs xG — not measured shot placement). The 0–2 flatters Girona — on chances created, Sporting Gijon shaded it.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
Confirmed line-ups
Captured from the official team sheets in the last hour before kick-off. The pick test requires these to be in before any call counts.
Sporting Gijon 4-4-2
- 1 Rubén Yáñez (G)
- 2 Guille Rosas (D)
- 6 Nacho Martín (M)
- 10 César Gelabert (F)
- 11 K. de La Fuente (M)
- 14 Álex Corredera (M)
- 15 Pablo Vázquez (D)
- 19 J. Otero (F)
- 20 N. Iosifov (M)
- 24 Aimar Duñabeitia (D)
- 44 Andrés Cuenca (D)
Bench: Antonio Casas, C. Ferreres, Pablo García, E. Gularte, M. Loum, Iker Martínez, Enol Prendes, Bruno Rubio Argüelles, A. Sarco, Jorge Sáenz, Diego Sánchez, Arana
Girona 4-4-2
- 5 David López (D)
- 8 Fran Beltrán (M)
- 9 Abel Ruiz (F)
- 11 Álex Moreno (D)
- 13 P. Gazzaniga (G)
- 16 Alejandro Francés (D)
- 17 Bryan Gil (M)
- 19 V. Vanat (F)
- 22 Y. Asprilla (M)
- 24 I. Gonzalez (M)
- 38 Holmes Zamorano (D)
Bench: V. Krapyvtsov, A. Mumin, Mateu Morey, Javier Boñar, Carles Pérez, Iván Morante, D. van de Beek, L. Kourouma, Oleksandr Pishchur, C. Stuani, Sergi Puig, Mauro Furtado
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance Sporting Gijon or draw | 1.54 | 61.1% | -0.1 pts |
| Double chance Girona or draw | 1.39 | 67.7% | +0.8 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.32 | 71.1% | -0.7 pts |
| Draw no bet — Sporting Gijon | 2.05 | 45.3% | -0.6 pts |
| Draw no bet — Girona | 1.70 | 54.7% | +0.6 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.27 | 73.1% | +0.3 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.93 | 49.2% | +0.6 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.22 | 28.9% | +0.6 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.69 | 54.7% | +0.1 pts |
| Sporting Gijon over 1.5 team goals | 2.61 | 35.9% | -0.2 pts |
| Girona over 1.5 team goals | 2.28 | 41.1% | +0.7 pts |
| Sporting Gijon clean sheet | 3.75 | 25.0% | -1.8 pts |
| Girona clean sheet | 3.25 | 29.0% | +0.0 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 5.87 · 0-1 7.86 · 1-2 8.60 · 1-0 8.88 · 0-0 9.42
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-09-05 14:00 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).