Almeria 3–2 Cadiz
What the chances were worth
The brain read
Almeria carried the greater threat — shots 16–5, 7–1 on target, 13–5 from inside the box. Match xG wasn't available for this game, so this read is built on the shot picture only.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance Almeria or draw | 1.11 | 84.5% | +1.0 pts |
| Double chance Cadiz or draw | 2.54 | 37.0% | -1.3 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.20 | 78.5% | +0.3 pts |
| Draw no bet — Almeria | 1.16 | 80.5% | +1.5 pts |
| Draw no bet — Cadiz | 4.80 | 19.5% | -1.5 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.24 | 74.9% | -1.6 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.83 | 51.8% | -2.4 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.01 | 30.8% | -2.2 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.91 | 48.5% | -3.2 pts |
| Almeria over 1.5 team goals | 1.63 | 57.6% | -0.7 pts |
| Cadiz over 1.5 team goals | 4.43 | 21.1% | -2.7 pts |
| Almeria clean sheet | 2.00 | 46.4% | +5.3 pts |
| Cadiz clean sheet | 6.00 | 15.7% | +1.1 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-0 6.15 · 2-0 6.62 · 1-1 7.38 · 2-1 7.54 · 3-0 9.66
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-09-06 18:30 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).
Head to head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb 26 | Cadiz | 1-2 | Almeria |
| 16 Nov 25 | Almeria | 3-0 | Cadiz |