Castellón 2–0 Albacete
What the chances were worth
The brain read
Castellón carried the greater threat — shots 26–6, 7–3 on target, 19–2 from inside the box. Match xG wasn't available for this game, so this read is built on the shot picture only. Castellón held 66% of the ball.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
Confirmed line-ups
Captured from the official team sheets in the last hour before kick-off. The pick test requires these to be in before any call counts.
Castellón 3-4-2-1
- 2 Juanjo Nieto (M)
- 4 A. Sienra (D)
- 5 Alberto Jiménez (D)
- 8 Barri (M)
- 9 Ousmane Camara (F)
- 13 R. Matthys (G)
- 14 Iñigo Córdoba (M)
- 17 F. Castillo (M)
- 18 Pablo Santiago (M)
- 21 Álvaro Martín (M)
- 22 J. Mellot (D)
Bench: J. Vlak, Israel Suero, Lucas Alcázar, F. Ceccherini, A. Gala, Varo García, D. Muale Nzanza, M. Orozco, Rodrigo Miguel Ferreira Rêgo, A. Saipi, Raúl Sánchez
Albacete 4-4-2
- 2 Lorenzo Aguado (M)
- 4 Agus Medina (M)
- 5 Javi Moreno (D)
- 8 Javi Villar (M)
- 9 Mario Soberón (F)
- 13 Diego Mariño (G)
- 15 Fran Gámez (D)
- 17 José Corpas (M)
- 18 Sergio Ortu (F)
- 21 Carlos Neva (D)
- 22 Lluís López (D)
Bench: Alex Rubio, Antonio Pacheco, Higinio Marín, Carlos Marín, D. Bernabeu, Antonio David, A. Albarracín, Vallejo
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance Castellón or draw | 1.14 | 82.6% | +0.6 pts |
| Double chance Albacete or draw | 2.39 | 39.3% | -1.8 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.20 | 78.2% | +1.1 pts |
| Draw no bet — Castellón | 1.20 | 77.5% | +0.9 pts |
| Draw no bet — Albacete | 4.14 | 22.5% | -0.9 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.17 | 79.5% | +2.6 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.60 | 58.6% | +3.7 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.46 | 38.2% | +4.0 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.67 | 55.6% | +2.2 pts |
| Castellón over 1.5 team goals | 1.54 | 60.8% | +3.6 pts |
| Albacete over 1.5 team goals | 3.47 | 27.1% | +0.9 pts |
| Castellón clean sheet | 2.38 | 39.1% | +0.0 pts |
| Albacete clean sheet | 6.50 | 14.6% | +0.0 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 7.46 · 2-1 7.58 · 1-0 7.88 · 2-0 7.98 · 3-1 10.80
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-09-06 16:00 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).
Head to head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar 26 | Albacete | 1-1 | Castellón |
| 19 Oct 25 | Castellón | 0-1 | Albacete |