Eibar 3–0 Granada CF
What the chances were worth
The scoreline says 3–0; by chance quality the match ran 1.49–0.49.
The brain read
Eibar created the better chances — the xG read 1.5–0.5, with the shot count roughly even (11–18, 8–3 on target). Granada CF held 65% of the ball. Eibar's finishing ran hot — 3 from 1.5 xG, 8 of 11 shots on target (a finishing read inferred from shots on target and goals vs xG — not measured shot placement). On the balance of chances, the 3–0 reads fair.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance Eibar or draw | 1.26 | 74.6% | -1.9 pts |
| Double chance Granada CF or draw | 1.75 | 53.8% | +3.3 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.31 | 71.6% | -1.5 pts |
| Draw no bet — Eibar | 1.45 | 64.2% | -2.8 pts |
| Draw no bet — Granada CF | 2.60 | 35.8% | +2.8 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.39 | 66.9% | -0.8 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.23 | 42.5% | -0.1 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 4.08 | 22.8% | -0.2 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.95 | 47.5% | +0.6 pts |
| Eibar over 1.5 team goals | 2.29 | 40.8% | -2.1 pts |
| Granada CF over 1.5 team goals | 3.53 | 26.4% | +1.7 pts |
| Eibar clean sheet | 2.38 | 39.1% | -2.0 pts |
| Granada CF clean sheet | 3.50 | 26.8% | +1.8 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-0 5.86 · 1-1 5.89 · 0-0 7.56 · 2-1 8.30 · 2-0 8.56
Prices are observations, not offers. Nothing here is advice or staked.
How to read this table
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-09-06 11:30 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).
Head to head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan 26 | Granada CF | 0-0 | Eibar |
| 22 Aug 25 | Eibar | 3-0 | Granada CF |