Malaga 0–0 Levante
What the chances were worth
The scoreline says 0–0; by chance quality the match ran 1.46–0.81.
The brain read
Malaga created the better chances — the xG read 1.5–0.8, with the shot count roughly even (10–11, 3–3 on target). Malaga held 63% of the ball. Malaga's finishing let them down — 0 from 1.5 xG despite 3 of 10 shots on target (a finishing read inferred from shots on target and goals vs xG — not measured shot placement). A draw on the scoreboard, but on chances created Malaga shaded the game.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance Malaga or draw | 1.38 | 68.7% | +1.1 pts |
| Double chance Levante or draw | 1.56 | 60.9% | -0.4 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.35 | 70.4% | -0.7 pts |
| Draw no bet — Malaga | 1.67 | 55.7% | +1.4 pts |
| Draw no bet — Levante | 2.10 | 44.3% | -1.4 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.29 | 72.8% | +0.5 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.94 | 49.3% | +0.5 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.22 | 29.1% | +0.3 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.70 | 54.7% | +0.2 pts |
| Malaga over 1.5 team goals | 2.28 | 41.5% | +1.1 pts |
| Levante over 1.5 team goals | 2.68 | 35.1% | -0.7 pts |
| Malaga clean sheet | 3.25 | 29.0% | -0.5 pts |
| Levante clean sheet | 3.75 | 25.0% | -0.6 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 5.90 · 1-0 8.18 · 2-1 9.00 · 0-1 9.24 · 0-0 9.44
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-09-06 16:00 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).