Oviedo 0–0 Burgos
What the chances were worth
The scoreline says 0–0; by chance quality the match ran 1.94–1.81.
The brain read
Little between them on chances created — the xG read 1.9–1.8, shots 21–16 with 2–2 on target. Oviedo got into the box far more often (15 shots inside it to 10). Oviedo's finishing let them down — 0 from 1.9 xG despite 2 of 21 shots on target (a finishing read inferred from shots on target and goals vs xG — not measured shot placement). A 0–0 draw the numbers agree with.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
Confirmed line-ups
Captured from the official team sheets in the last hour before kick-off. The pick test requires these to be in before any call counts.
Oviedo 4-4-2
- 2 Aisar (D)
- 6 Dani Villahermosa (M)
- 10 Alberto Reina (F)
- 11 Jacobo González (M)
- 12 Dani Calvo (D)
- 13 Aarón Escandell (G)
- 15 S. Rodriguez (D)
- 16 Aritz Aldasoro (M)
- 20 Pablo Sáenz (M)
- 23 Carlos Domínguez (D)
- 24 A. Ișfan (F)
Bench: Estanis, Miguel Narváez, Juan Cruz, Marco Esteban, David Jimenez, Y. Didi, Enzo Perez, Erisa·Sekisambu, Mikel Goti, victor mingo
Burgos 4-4-2
- 3 Ignasi Vilarrasa (D)
- 4 P. Galdames (M)
- 6 Sergio González (D)
- 8 Grego (D)
- 9 Álex Forés (F)
- 13 Ander Cantero (G)
- 14 David González (M)
- 16 Curro Sánchez (F)
- 19 Javi Llabrés (M)
- 20 José Gragera (M)
- 23 Alberto Dadie (D)
Bench: Iván Martínez, Unai Vencedor, K. Appin, Marcelo Expósito, Fermin Garcia, Mario Cantero, Víctor Mollejo, Jon Karrikaburu, Irian Ribas Carrasco, Bruno Iribarne, Brais Martínez, Saúl del Cerro
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance Oviedo or draw | 1.19 | 79.0% | +3.7 pts |
| Double chance Burgos or draw | 1.88 | 49.9% | -3.9 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.32 | 71.1% | +0.2 pts |
| Draw no bet — Oviedo | 1.32 | 71.0% | +5.5 pts |
| Draw no bet — Burgos | 3.22 | 29.0% | -5.5 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.50 | 62.6% | +1.0 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.53 | 37.1% | +0.8 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 5.19 | 17.9% | +0.2 pts |
| Both teams to score | 2.25 | 41.3% | -1.0 pts |
| Oviedo over 1.5 team goals | 2.32 | 40.3% | +2.5 pts |
| Burgos over 1.5 team goals | 4.86 | 19.2% | -3.4 pts |
| Oviedo clean sheet | 1.91 | 48.5% | +2.1 pts |
| Burgos clean sheet | 3.50 | 26.8% | +0.0 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-0 4.83 · 1-1 5.98 · 0-0 6.80 · 2-0 7.22 · 2-1 8.42
Prices are observations, not offers. Nothing here is advice or staked.
How to read this table
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-09-06 14:00 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).