Nantes 1–0 Nancy
What the chances were worth
The brain read
Nantes carried the greater threat — shots 15–5, 2–0 on target, 11–3 from inside the box. Match xG wasn't available for this game, so this read is built on the shot picture only.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
Confirmed line-ups
Captured from the official team sheets in the last hour before kick-off. The pick test requires these to be in before any call counts.
Nantes 4-1-4-1
- 1 M. Dupé (G)
- 4 S. Sow (D)
- 5 L. Perrin (D)
- 8 J. Lepenant (M)
- 17 D. Assoumani (M)
- 20 M. Cafaro (M)
- 23 W. Younoussa (M)
- 24 F. Guilbert (D)
- 26 R. Hachem (M)
- 27 T. Robinet (F)
- 98 K. Amian (D)
Bench: I. Sissoko, Yanel Zézé, A. Cherni, F. Doucouré, A. Joujou, I. Ganago, Louis Leroux, B. Pierret, T. Tati
Nancy 4-4-2
- 1 E. Basilio (G)
- 4 N. Fernandez-Veliz (D)
- 5 P. Meïssa Ba (F)
- 6 K. Kebe (M)
- 7 Z. Fdaouch (M)
- 8 W. Bouabdelli (M)
- 9 I. Housni (F)
- 21 E. Mendy (D)
- 44 E. Tacafred (D)
- 70 N. Kandil (M)
- 77 Y. Nahounou (D)
Bench: C. El Hansar, Mamadou Fofana II, G. Lembet, L. Ndenbe, N. Obougoujacquet, El Hadari, N. Saint-Ruf, A. Dabasse, H. Tavares
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance Nantes or draw | 1.22 | 76.7% | +0.9 pts |
| Double chance Nancy or draw | 1.87 | 49.9% | -0.7 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.27 | 73.4% | -0.2 pts |
| Draw no bet — Nantes | 1.36 | 67.7% | +0.6 pts |
| Draw no bet — Nancy | 2.86 | 32.3% | -0.6 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.26 | 74.0% | -0.0 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.88 | 50.3% | +0.1 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.15 | 29.7% | -0.1 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.73 | 53.6% | -0.2 pts |
| Nantes over 1.5 team goals | 1.91 | 49.0% | +0.2 pts |
| Nancy over 1.5 team goals | 3.22 | 28.9% | -0.4 pts |
| Nantes clean sheet | 2.50 | 37.5% | +2.0 pts |
| Nancy clean sheet | 4.50 | 20.8% | +0.0 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 6.30 · 1-0 6.91 · 2-1 7.80 · 2-0 8.73 · 0-0 10.06
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-09-07 18:30 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).