Wrexham 1–1 Burnley
What the chances were worth
The scoreline says 1–1; by chance quality the match ran 1.28–1.50.
The brain read
Little between them on chances created — the xG read 1.3–1.5, shots 15–19 with 5–4 on target. Wrexham got into the box far more often (13 shots inside it to 10). A 1–1 draw the numbers agree with.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
Confirmed line-ups
Captured from the official team sheets in the last hour before kick-off. The pick test requires these to be in before any call counts.
Wrexham 3-4-2-1
- 2 C. Doyle (D)
- 3 J. Ekomié (M)
- 4 M. Cleworth (D)
- 5 D. Hyam (D)
- 8 B. Whiteman (M)
- 10 J. Windass (M)
- 12 I. Kaboré (M)
- 19 K. Moore (F)
- 22 A. Patterson (G)
- 27 L. O'Brien (M)
- 37 M. James (M)
Bench: J. Worrall, D. Ward, Z. Vyner, S. Smith, O. Rathbone, C. O'Hare, R. Longman, Daniel Edward Peter Imray, N. Broadhead
Burnley 4-2-3-1
- 1 M. Weiß (G)
- 2 K. Walker (D)
- 3 Max Alleyne (D)
- 8 U. Raghouber (M)
- 11 Z. Amdouni (F)
- 14 C. Roberts (D)
- 19 L. Ramazani (M)
- 21 A. Ramsey (M)
- 22 O. Sonne (M)
- 29 J. Laurent (M)
- 44 Igor (D)
Bench: A. Ahmedhodžić, A. Broja, L. Castell, G. Coudert, H. Ekdal, R. Hatate, A. Hountondji, Lucas Pires, E. Clark
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance Wrexham or draw | 1.28 | 73.2% | +0.1 pts |
| Double chance Burnley or draw | 1.77 | 53.0% | +0.1 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.27 | 73.8% | -0.1 pts |
| Draw no bet — Wrexham | 1.45 | 63.6% | -0.2 pts |
| Draw no bet — Burnley | 2.53 | 36.4% | +0.2 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.26 | 74.3% | -1.3 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.86 | 51.0% | -2.3 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.10 | 30.2% | -2.5 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.69 | 55.1% | -1.8 pts |
| Wrexham over 1.5 team goals | 1.97 | 47.5% | -1.1 pts |
| Burnley over 1.5 team goals | 2.90 | 32.1% | -1.9 pts |
| Wrexham clean sheet | 2.77 | 33.4% | +2.2 pts |
| Burnley clean sheet | 4.33 | 21.6% | +2.6 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 6.31 · 1-0 7.55 · 2-1 7.97 · 2-0 9.61 · 0-1 10.41
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-09-08 18:30 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).