1. FC Nürnberg 2–1 Hannover 96
What the chances were worth
The scoreline says 2–1; by chance quality the match ran 2.15–1.26.
The brain read
1. FC Nürnberg created the better chances — the xG read 2.1–1.3 and the shot count agreed (27–9, 8–2 on target). 1. FC Nürnberg got into the box far more often (17 shots inside it to 7). On the balance of chances, the 2–1 reads fair.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
Confirmed line-ups
Captured from the official team sheets in the last hour before kick-off. The pick test requires these to be in before any call counts.
1. FC Nürnberg 4-2-3-1
- 1 J. Reichert (G)
- 4 A. Kalogeropoulos (D)
- 6 A. Marhiev (M)
- 8 J. Fernandez (M)
- 10 J. Justvan (M)
- 19 P. Scobel (F)
- 20 F. Otto (D)
- 22 F. Becker (M)
- 23 M. Zoma (M)
- 32 T. Janisch (D)
- 41 E. Porstner (D)
Bench: W. Bøving, andrea ceresoli, R. Ghrieb, S. Haugen, Robin Lisewski, Rafael Lubach, K. Mandic, Marko Soldic, T. Hess
Hannover 96 3-4-3
- 3 B. Tomiak (D)
- 5 V. Ghiță (D)
- 8 W. Taïbi (F)
- 10 M. Hartel (M)
- 11 B. Pichler (F)
- 17 B. Allgeier (D)
- 23 S. Þórðarson (M)
- 25 L. Gindorf (F)
- 29 K. Oudenne (M)
- 30 L. Weinkauf (G)
- 33 M. Neubauer (M)
Bench: Taycan Macid Etcibasi, B. Källman, P. Loretz, H. Matsuda, I. Okon, F. Roggow, E. Sahiti, Noah Engelbreth, H. Chakroun
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance 1. FC Nürnberg or draw | 1.46 | 64.2% | +3.0 pts |
| Double chance Hannover 96 or draw | 1.54 | 60.6% | -3.8 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.25 | 75.1% | +0.8 pts |
| Draw no bet — 1. FC Nürnberg | 1.76 | 52.4% | +4.4 pts |
| Draw no bet — Hannover 96 | 1.94 | 47.6% | -4.4 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.07 | 86.9% | +4.9 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.32 | 70.5% | +8.3 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.84 | 51.0% | +9.0 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.30 | 71.3% | +6.3 pts |
| 1. FC Nürnberg over 1.5 team goals | 1.65 | 57.0% | +9.6 pts |
| Hannover 96 over 1.5 team goals | 1.77 | 53.1% | +3.0 pts |
| 1. FC Nürnberg clean sheet | 5.00 | 19.0% | -1.8 pts |
| Hannover 96 clean sheet | 5.00 | 19.0% | -2.7 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 8.46 · 2-2 9.72 · 2-1 9.84 · 1-2 10.30 · 3-1 15.10
Prices are observations, not offers. Nothing here is advice or staked.
How to read this table
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-09-11 16:00 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).
Head to head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec 25 | 1. FC Nürnberg | 2-1 | Hannover 96 |