1. FC Nürnberg 2–1 Hannover 96
What the chances were worth
The brain read
1. FC Nürnberg carried the greater threat — shots 27–9, 8–2 on target, 17–7 from inside the box. Match xG wasn't available for this game, so this read is built on the shot picture only.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
Confirmed line-ups
Captured from the official team sheets in the last hour before kick-off. The pick test requires these to be in before any call counts.
1. FC Nürnberg 4-2-3-1
- 1 J. Reichert (G)
- 4 A. Kalogeropoulos (D)
- 6 A. Marhiev (M)
- 8 J. Fernandez (M)
- 10 J. Justvan (M)
- 19 P. Scobel (F)
- 20 F. Otto (D)
- 22 F. Becker (M)
- 23 M. Zoma (M)
- 32 T. Janisch (D)
- 41 E. Porstner (D)
Bench: W. Bøving, andrea ceresoli, R. Ghrieb, S. Haugen, Robin Lisewski, Rafael Lubach, K. Mandic, Marko Soldic, T. Hess
Hannover 96 3-4-3
- 3 B. Tomiak (D)
- 5 V. Ghiță (D)
- 8 W. Taïbi (F)
- 10 M. Hartel (M)
- 11 B. Pichler (F)
- 17 B. Allgeier (D)
- 23 S. Þórðarson (M)
- 25 L. Gindorf (F)
- 29 K. Oudenne (M)
- 30 L. Weinkauf (G)
- 33 M. Neubauer (M)
Bench: Taycan Macid Etcibasi, B. Källman, P. Loretz, H. Matsuda, I. Okon, F. Roggow, E. Sahiti, Noah Engelbreth, H. Chakroun
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance 1. FC Nürnberg or draw | 1.46 | 64.2% | +3.0 pts |
| Double chance Hannover 96 or draw | 1.54 | 60.6% | -3.8 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.25 | 75.1% | +0.8 pts |
| Draw no bet — 1. FC Nürnberg | 1.76 | 52.4% | +4.4 pts |
| Draw no bet — Hannover 96 | 1.94 | 47.6% | -4.4 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.07 | 86.9% | +4.9 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.32 | 70.5% | +8.3 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.84 | 51.0% | +9.0 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.30 | 71.3% | +6.3 pts |
| 1. FC Nürnberg over 1.5 team goals | 1.65 | 57.0% | +9.6 pts |
| Hannover 96 over 1.5 team goals | 1.77 | 53.1% | +3.0 pts |
| 1. FC Nürnberg clean sheet | 5.00 | 19.0% | -1.8 pts |
| Hannover 96 clean sheet | 5.00 | 19.0% | -2.7 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 8.46 · 2-2 9.72 · 2-1 9.84 · 1-2 10.30 · 3-1 15.10
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-09-11 16:00 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).
Head to head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec 25 | 1. FC Nürnberg | 2-1 | Hannover 96 |