Benevento 3–1 Hellas Verona
What the chances were worth
The brain read
Benevento carried the greater threat — shots 13–11, 6–3 on target, 6–7 from inside the box. Match xG wasn't available for this game, so this read is built on the shot picture only.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
Confirmed line-ups
Captured from the official team sheets in the last hour before kick-off. The pick test requires these to be in before any call counts.
Hellas Verona 3-5-2
- 1 N. Leali (G)
- 4 G. Zappa (D)
- 5 A. Edmundsson (D)
- 6 D. Bradarić (M)
- 9 A. Sarr (F)
- 11 M. Compagnon (M)
- 17 A. Le Borgne (M)
- 19 S. Mulattieri (F)
- 24 A. Bernede (M)
- 44 E. Iannoni (M)
- 48 S. Korač (D)
Bench: N. Calabrese, T. Suslov, K. Sezonienko, D. Livramento, S. Perilli, N. Lella, G. Kastanos, A. Harroui, D. De Battisti, P. Dawidowicz, F. Cham, S. Cerbone
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance Benevento or draw | 1.51 | 62.0% | +1.9 pts |
| Double chance Hellas Verona or draw | 1.38 | 67.8% | -1.3 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.33 | 70.2% | -0.6 pts |
| Draw no bet — Benevento | 2.03 | 45.8% | +2.4 pts |
| Draw no bet — Hellas Verona | 1.72 | 54.2% | -2.4 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.31 | 71.1% | +0.6 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.01 | 46.9% | +0.7 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.41 | 27.2% | +1.0 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.74 | 53.1% | +1.0 pts |
| Benevento over 1.5 team goals | 2.65 | 35.4% | +1.7 pts |
| Hellas Verona over 1.5 team goals | 2.42 | 38.7% | -0.8 pts |
| Benevento clean sheet | 3.50 | 26.8% | -0.9 pts |
| Hellas Verona clean sheet | 3.00 | 31.2% | +0.0 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 5.80 · 0-1 7.76 · 0-0 8.28 · 1-0 8.50 · 1-2 9.22
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-09-11 18:30 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).