Empoli 0–1 Arezzo
What the chances were worth
The brain read
Arezzo carried the greater threat — shots 10–15, 2–2 on target, 6–7 from inside the box. Match xG wasn't available for this game, so this read is built on the shot picture only.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance Empoli or draw | 1.26 | 74.4% | -2.7 pts |
| Double chance Arezzo or draw | 1.73 | 54.1% | +3.4 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.31 | 71.5% | -0.7 pts |
| Draw no bet — Empoli | 1.45 | 63.7% | -4.5 pts |
| Draw no bet — Arezzo | 2.54 | 36.3% | +4.5 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.31 | 71.0% | +1.9 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.03 | 46.4% | +1.9 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.51 | 26.4% | +2.0 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.82 | 51.0% | +2.0 pts |
| Empoli over 1.5 team goals | 2.14 | 44.0% | -0.6 pts |
| Arezzo over 1.5 team goals | 3.33 | 28.1% | +2.6 pts |
| Empoli clean sheet | 2.50 | 37.5% | -4.9 pts |
| Arezzo clean sheet | 3.75 | 25.0% | +3.3 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 5.97 · 1-0 6.77 · 0-0 8.44 · 2-1 8.50 · 2-0 9.28
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-09-11 16:30 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).