Rodez 0–1 Grenoble
What the chances were worth
The brain read
Rodez carried the greater threat — shots 22–3, 8–1 on target, 17–3 from inside the box. Match xG wasn't available for this game, so this read is built on the shot picture only.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
Confirmed line-ups
Captured from the official team sheets in the last hour before kick-off. The pick test requires these to be in before any call counts.
Rodez 5-3-2
- 3 R. Lipinski (D)
- 4 M. Magnin (D)
- 6 J. Mendes (M)
- 7 K. Nagera (F)
- 8 D. Pavlović (M)
- 13 C. Roubiou (D)
- 16 L. Margueron (G)
- 20 R. Ponti (D)
- 21 K. Nsona (F)
- 24 L. Quenabio (D)
- 29 Antonin Cartillier (M)
Bench: M. Saka, M. Touho, L. Vungele Vangi, E. Crombez, M. Essimi Ateba, E. Jean-Lambert, O. Joly, S. Luyambula Biwa, N. Nsingi
Grenoble 4-1-4-1
- 1 A. Olliero (G)
- 5 C. Vidal (D)
- 6 Y. Magnin (M)
- 8 L. Bernadou (M)
- 10 B. Mouazan (M)
- 12 U. Bonnet (M)
- 19 N. Zahui (D)
- 27 M. Xantippe (D)
- 30 S. Diba (M)
- 43 A. Pelon (D)
- 92 J. Akpa Akpro (F)
Bench: D. Hoogewerf, M. Corboz, M. Djitté, K. Fofana, Owen Kouassi, Y. Maçon, J. Mouton, B. Allain, S. Niakaté
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance Rodez or draw | 1.23 | 76.2% | -3.6 pts |
| Double chance Grenoble or draw | 1.85 | 50.6% | +5.5 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.28 | 73.2% | -1.9 pts |
| Draw no bet — Rodez | 1.40 | 66.4% | -6.4 pts |
| Draw no bet — Grenoble | 2.77 | 33.6% | +6.4 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.21 | 76.3% | +0.4 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.77 | 53.5% | +0.3 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.79 | 33.2% | +0.3 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.64 | 56.3% | +2.3 pts |
| Rodez over 1.5 team goals | 1.81 | 51.9% | -2.3 pts |
| Grenoble over 1.5 team goals | 3.12 | 30.0% | +2.7 pts |
| Rodez clean sheet | 2.50 | 37.5% | +2.0 pts |
| Grenoble clean sheet | 5.50 | 17.2% | +0.0 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 6.58 · 1-0 7.82 · 2-1 8.02 · 2-0 9.32 · 0-0 11.70
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-09-11 17:30 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).