Chelsea 2–2 Hull City
What the chances were worth
The brain read
An even contest on the shot picture — shots 12–13, 7–5 on target, 6–9 from inside the box. Match xG wasn't available for this game, so this read is built on the shot picture only. Chelsea held 68% of the ball.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance Chelsea or draw | 1.04 | 91.4% | -0.1 pts |
| Double chance Hull City or draw | 4.17 | 22.8% | -1.4 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.11 | 85.8% | +1.5 pts |
| Draw no bet — Chelsea | 1.05 | 89.5% | -0.2 pts |
| Draw no bet — Hull City | 8.92 | 10.5% | +0.2 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.09 | 85.2% | +0.7 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.39 | 67.3% | +1.7 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.04 | 46.9% | +0.9 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.87 | 50.2% | -0.0 pts |
| Chelsea over 1.5 team goals | 1.24 | 75.1% | +1.1 pts |
| Hull City over 1.5 team goals | 4.86 | 19.2% | +0.1 pts |
| Chelsea clean sheet | 2.00 | 46.4% | +0.0 pts |
| Hull City clean sheet | 13.00 | 7.4% | +0.0 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 2-0 7.22 · 3-0 8.02 · 2-1 8.96 · 1-0 9.37 · 3-1 9.92
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-09-12 13:30 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).