Cordoba 0–2 Almeria
What the chances were worth
The scoreline says 0–2; by chance quality the match ran 1.38–0.52.
The brain read
Cordoba created the better chances — the xG read 1.4–0.5 and the shot count agreed (21–4, 4–2 on target). Cordoba got into the box far more often (16 shots inside it to 2). Cordoba's finishing let them down — 0 from 1.4 xG despite 4 of 21 shots on target (a finishing read inferred from shots on target and goals vs xG — not measured shot placement). The 0–2 flatters Almeria — on chances created, Cordoba shaded it.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
Confirmed line-ups
Captured from the official team sheets in the last hour before kick-off. The pick test requires these to be in before any call counts.
Cordoba 4-3-3
- 3 Dani Tasende (D)
- 4 Álex Martín (D)
- 8 Isma Ruiz (M)
- 9 Percan (F)
- 11 Diego Bri (F)
- 13 Guilherme Fernandes (G)
- 16 Rubén Alves (D)
- 22 Y. Diarra (M)
- 23 Cristian Carracedo (F)
- 27 Egoitz Muñoz (D)
- 28 Eder García (M)
Bench: D. Caceres, Daniel Budesca, Carlos Albarrán, Adnane Ghailan, Juan Gutiérrez, Iker Álvarez, Enol Rodríguez, Ibai Sanz, V. Sanchez, Kevin Villodres, T. Zidane
Almeria 4-2-3-1
- 1 Andrés Fernández (G)
- 2 Marcos Luna (D)
- 12 Léo Baptistão (M)
- 14 Javi Muñoz (M)
- 15 Leonardo Lelo (D)
- 17 B. Cipenga (M)
- 18 F. Bonini (D)
- 19 Rodrigo Ely (D)
- 24 Miguel de la Fuente (F)
- 29 S. Džodić (M)
- 33 Quim Junyent (M)
Bench: Sergio Arribas, D. Chirino, Adri Embarba, Thalys, Nico Melamed, Jon Morcillo, Álex Muñoz, Jorge Pulido, Álex Sola, Mikel Vesga, Á. Yaakobishvili, Chumi
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance Cordoba or draw | 1.42 | 66.0% | +0.9 pts |
| Double chance Almeria or draw | 1.52 | 61.5% | +0.4 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.29 | 72.5% | -1.3 pts |
| Draw no bet — Cordoba | 1.76 | 53.1% | +0.5 pts |
| Draw no bet — Almeria | 1.99 | 46.9% | -0.5 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.19 | 78.5% | +0.1 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.66 | 56.7% | -0.5 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.64 | 35.8% | -0.9 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.52 | 60.9% | -0.1 pts |
| Cordoba over 1.5 team goals | 2.05 | 45.8% | -0.3 pts |
| Almeria over 1.5 team goals | 2.20 | 42.7% | -0.4 pts |
| Cordoba clean sheet | 3.75 | 25.0% | -1.8 pts |
| Almeria clean sheet | 4.00 | 23.4% | -1.6 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 6.28 · 2-1 8.77 · 1-2 9.29 · 1-0 9.77 · 0-1 10.45
Prices are observations, not offers. Nothing here is advice or staked.
How to read this table
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-09-12 18:30 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).
Head to head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb 26 | Almeria | 2-1 | Cordoba |
| 19 Oct 25 | Cordoba | 1-1 | Almeria |