Dunkerque 2–1 Saint Etienne
What the chances were worth
The brain read
Saint Etienne carried the greater threat — shots 7–11, 2–5 on target, 3–9 from inside the box. Match xG wasn't available for this game, so this read is built on the shot picture only.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
Confirmed line-ups
Captured from the official team sheets in the last hour before kick-off. The pick test requires these to be in before any call counts.
Dunkerque 4-2-3-1
- 6 J. Morel (M)
- 7 K. Ayari (M)
- 10 A. Lebeau (M)
- 11 E. Prutsev (M)
- 18 Théna Massock (M)
- 19 S. Keita (F)
- 22 V. Mayela (D)
- 24 L. Vallier (D)
- 26 Opa Sanganté (D)
- 27 A. Linguet (D)
- 73 Moha Airam (G)
Bench: Franck Atoen, P. M. Dieng, G. Robail, B. Lagae, E. Mayilla, Noah Nemorin, S. Nzonzi, Mouhamed Sissokho, O. Touré
Saint Etienne 4-2-3-1
- 6 M. Bernauer (D)
- 7 I. Cardona (F)
- 8 T. Ballo (M)
- 14 Á. Csongvai (M)
- 16 T. Svetlin (M)
- 18 S. Nair (D)
- 20 A. Boakye (M)
- 22 Z. Davitashvili (M)
- 23 K. Pedro (D)
- 26 J. Le Cardinal (D)
- 30 G. Larsonneur (G)
Bench: Mamour Ndiaye, J. Duffus, L. Lavallée, João Ferreira, Chico Lamba, N. El Jamali, J. Breum, Adam Baallal, B. Old
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance Dunkerque or draw | 2.13 | 43.9% | -3.4 pts |
| Double chance Saint Etienne or draw | 1.18 | 79.5% | +2.3 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.22 | 76.6% | +1.1 pts |
| Draw no bet — Dunkerque | 3.54 | 26.2% | -3.6 pts |
| Draw no bet — Saint Etienne | 1.26 | 73.8% | +3.6 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 77.6% | +0.1 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.68 | 56.2% | +0.6 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.66 | 35.0% | -0.1 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.67 | 55.7% | -1.2 pts |
| Dunkerque over 1.5 team goals | 3.15 | 29.6% | -2.2 pts |
| Saint Etienne over 1.5 team goals | 1.63 | 57.3% | +2.6 pts |
| Dunkerque clean sheet | 5.50 | 17.2% | +0.0 pts |
| Saint Etienne clean sheet | 2.62 | 35.5% | +1.7 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 7.51 · 0-1 7.65 · 1-2 7.71 · 0-2 8.38 · 1-3 12.22
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-09-12 17:30 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).