FootballEdgeSeason 2026/27Self-updating record
Full time · 2. Bundesliga · Sat 12 Sep 2026, 12:00 UTC

Eintracht Braunschweig 2–2 Dynamo Dresden

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What the chances were worth

Eintracht Braunschweig
1.27
expected goals (xG)
Dynamo Dresden
0.97
expected goals (xG)

The scoreline says 2–2; by chance quality the match ran 1.27–0.97.

The brain read

Little between them on chances created — the xG read 1.3–1, shots 11–16 with 5–6 on target. Dynamo Dresden held 63% of the ball. Dynamo Dresden's finishing ran hot — 2 from 1 xG, 6 of 16 shots on target (a finishing read inferred from shots on target and goals vs xG — not measured shot placement). A 2–2 draw the numbers agree with.

A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.

The match in numbers

Eintracht Braunschweig
Dynamo Dresden
37%
Ball Possession
63%
11
Total Shots
16
5
Shots on Goal
6
4
Shots off Goal
5
2
Blocked Shots
5
7
Shots inside box
8
4
Shots outside box
8
2
Corner Kicks
5
380
Total passes
663
303
Passes accurate
587
8
Fouls
13
3
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
4
Goalkeeper Saves
3
13
Free Kicks
8

As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.

Confirmed line-ups

Captured from the official team sheets in the last hour before kick-off. The pick test requires these to be in before any call counts.

Eintracht Braunschweig 4-1-4-1

  1. 1 R. Hoffmann (G)
  2. 4 A. Hoti (D)
  3. 6 F. Flick (M)
  4. 7 Yann Sturm (M)
  5. 8 M. Aydın (D)
  6. 9 M. Entrup (F)
  7. 10 S. Di Benedetto (M)
  8. 15 Max Marie (M)
  9. 17 A. Opoku (M)
  10. 21 K. Ehlers (D)
  11. 22 F. Di Michele Sanchez (D)

Bench: L. Frenkert, Junior Arlet Zé, N. Katterbach, J. Mijatović, L. Tempelmann, B. Uphoff, Jan Urbich, T. Wagner, I. Koutsidis

Dynamo Dresden 4-3-3

  1. 1 T. Schreiber (G)
  2. 6 N. Rapp (M)
  3. 7 K. Okpala (F)
  4. 9 V. Vermeij (F)
  5. 17 A. Muhamedbegović (D)
  6. 18 R. Wagner (M)
  7. 19 A. Rossipal (D)
  8. 20 B. Bobzien (F)
  9. 27 N. Hauptmann (M)
  10. 32 J. Sterner (D)
  11. 39 T. Keller (D)

Bench: P. Čović, E. Bethke, N. Fröling, K. Inanoglu, J. Lemmer, F. Muller, T. Raschl, S. Straudi, C. Daferner

The market’s read

Eintracht Braunschweig
35%
market implied · price 2.69 · opened 34%
Draw
27%
market implied · price 3.50 · opened 26%
Dynamo Dresden
39%
market implied · price 2.41 · opened 40%
MarketConsensus priceImplied chanceMove
Double chance Eintracht Braunschweig or draw1.5361.4%+3.2 pts
Double chance Dynamo Dresden or draw1.4365.5%-1.6 pts
Double chance either team1.2873.2%-1.6 pts
Draw no bet — Eintracht Braunschweig1.9947.1%+1.0 pts
Draw no bet — Dynamo Dresden1.7752.9%-1.0 pts
Over 1.5 goals1.1680.7%-0.1 pts
Over 2.5 goals1.5760.3%+1.4 pts
Over 3.5 goals2.3439.9%+3.6 pts
Both teams to score1.4563.9%+3.1 pts
Eintracht Braunschweig over 1.5 team goals2.0845.2%+2.8 pts
Dynamo Dresden over 1.5 team goals1.9348.5%+1.1 pts
Eintracht Braunschweig clean sheet4.5020.8%+0.0 pts
Dynamo Dresden clean sheet3.7525.0%+0.0 pts

Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 6.97 · 1-2 9.09 · 2-1 9.84 · 2-2 10.45 · 0-1 11.13

Prices are observations, not offers. Nothing here is advice or staked.

How to read this table

Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-09-12 10:30 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).

Prices are observations, not offers. Each price is the average across the bookmakers the collector sees, and the implied chance is that price with the bookmaker’s margin stripped out. The market’s read is published so the model’s read can be judged against it — nothing here is advice, and nothing here is staked.

Head to head

DateHomeScoreAway
12 Dec 25Dynamo Dresden2-3Eintracht Braunschweig