Girona 1–2 Castellón
What the chances were worth
The brain read
Castellón carried the greater threat — shots 8–18, 5–9 on target, 5–11 from inside the box. Match xG wasn't available for this game, so this read is built on the shot picture only.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
Confirmed line-ups
Captured from the official team sheets in the last hour before kick-off. The pick test requires these to be in before any call counts.
Girona 4-4-2
- 5 David López (D)
- 8 Fran Beltrán (M)
- 9 Abel Ruiz (F)
- 11 Álex Moreno (D)
- 13 P. Gazzaniga (G)
- 16 Alejandro Francés (D)
- 17 Bryan Gil (M)
- 19 V. Vanat (F)
- 22 Y. Asprilla (M)
- 24 I. Gonzalez (M)
- 38 Holmes Zamorano (D)
Bench: M. Furtado, V. Krapyvtsov, Iván Morante, Mateu Morey, A. Mumin, Sergi Puig, Oleksandr Pishchur, Carles Pérez, C. Stuani, D. van de Beek, L. Kourouma, Javier Boñar
Castellón 4-4-2
- 2 Juanjo Nieto (D)
- 4 A. Sienra (D)
- 5 Alberto Jiménez (D)
- 6 M. Orozco (M)
- 8 Barri (M)
- 9 Ousmane Camara (F)
- 10 Israel Suero (M)
- 12 Lucas Alcázar (D)
- 13 R. Matthys (G)
- 17 F. Castillo (F)
- 26 Rodrigo Miguel Ferreira Rêgo (M)
Bench: Hamza Bellari, F. Ceccherini, Iñigo Córdoba, A. Gala, Varo García, Álvaro Martín, J. Mellot, A. Saipi, Pablo Santiago, A. Jakobsen, Raúl Sánchez, J. Vlak
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance Girona or draw | 1.34 | 70.1% | -1.0 pts |
| Double chance Castellón or draw | 1.64 | 57.2% | +1.5 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.29 | 72.8% | -0.6 pts |
| Draw no bet — Girona | 1.61 | 58.0% | -2.5 pts |
| Draw no bet — Castellón | 2.22 | 42.0% | +2.5 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.21 | 77.4% | +0.3 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.71 | 55.3% | +0.4 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.70 | 34.6% | +0.1 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.55 | 59.9% | +1.3 pts |
| Girona over 1.5 team goals | 1.95 | 48.1% | -0.6 pts |
| Castellón over 1.5 team goals | 2.42 | 38.7% | +1.6 pts |
| Girona clean sheet | 3.40 | 27.7% | -1.4 pts |
| Castellón clean sheet | 5.00 | 19.0% | -2.7 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 6.23 · 2-1 8.30 · 1-0 8.80 · 1-2 10.17 · 0-1 10.70
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-09-12 16:00 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).