Guingamp 2–1 Annecy
What the chances were worth
The brain read
Guingamp carried the greater threat — shots 14–9, 7–4 on target, 11–7 from inside the box. Match xG wasn't available for this game, so this read is built on the shot picture only.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
Confirmed line-ups
Captured from the official team sheets in the last hour before kick-off. The pick test requires these to be in before any call counts.
Guingamp 4-4-2
- 2 E. Koffi (D)
- 4 D. Louiserre (M)
- 5 T. Ollila (D)
- 7 D. Gomis (D)
- 11 T. Averlant (M)
- 16 Adrián Ortolá (G)
- 18 S. Kielt (F)
- 20 S. Ben Brahim (M)
- 21 T. Ahile (F)
- 25 T. Ducrocq (M)
- 36 A. Demouchy (D)
Bench: J. Chamakh, B. Bokangu, T. Bartouche, I. Diakite, J. Dianganga, J. Matondo, Vimoj Muntu Wa Mungu, A. Samoura, F. Da Silva
Annecy 4-3-3
- 1 F. Escales (G)
- 5 A. Kashi (M)
- 9 T. Rambaud (F)
- 12 K. Young (F)
- 17 Z. Redmond (F)
- 22 C. Billemaz (M)
- 23 M. Veillon (D)
- 25 P. Venot (M)
- 26 A. Do Marcolino (D)
- 27 J. Kouadio (D)
- 41 T. Delphis (D)
Bench: Gabin Secrétant, P. Mozie, E. Marre, A. Larose, M. Koné, M. Sahi, T. Callens, K. Veniere
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance Guingamp or draw | 1.29 | 72.3% | +2.0 pts |
| Double chance Annecy or draw | 1.68 | 55.8% | -1.5 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.30 | 71.9% | -0.4 pts |
| Draw no bet — Guingamp | 1.53 | 60.7% | +1.4 pts |
| Draw no bet — Annecy | 2.36 | 39.3% | -1.4 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.25 | 74.3% | -0.6 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.87 | 50.6% | -0.9 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.12 | 30.0% | -0.5 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.68 | 55.2% | -0.8 pts |
| Guingamp over 1.5 team goals | 2.06 | 45.5% | +0.1 pts |
| Annecy over 1.5 team goals | 2.80 | 33.4% | -2.1 pts |
| Guingamp clean sheet | 2.75 | 33.7% | +0.0 pts |
| Annecy clean sheet | 3.75 | 25.0% | +0.0 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 6.11 · 1-0 7.67 · 2-1 8.38 · 0-1 10.00 · 0-0 10.14
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-09-12 11:30 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).