Le Havre 0–0 Angers
What the chances were worth
What the model expected
Its probabilities for this match, logged before kick-off and never changed. The result is highlighted.
Before kick-off the model favoured Le Havre to win (43%); it finished with the draw. A miss — it gave the actual result 28% beforehand.
One match tells you nothing on its own — whether these percentages are any good is the whole point of the calibration page, where every one of them is scored.
The brain read
Le Havre carried the greater threat — shots 16–9, 6–1 on target, 10–5 from inside the box. Match xG wasn't available for this game, so this read is built on the shot picture only.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
Confirmed line-ups
Captured from the official team sheets in the last hour before kick-off. The pick test requires these to be in before any call counts.
Le Havre 3-4-2-1
- 5 A. Touba (D)
- 7 A. Richardson (M)
- 9 J. Maja (M)
- 12 E. Jelert (D)
- 15 A. Seko (D)
- 17 K. Mizuta (M)
- 20 D. Ouziad (M)
- 25 M. Samatta (F)
- 26 S. Ebonog (M)
- 30 S. Nakamura (M)
- 93 G. Gallon (G)
Bench: R. Fofana, I. Bouneb, V. Sasso, Alex Teixeira, D. Mosengo, M. Ndiaye, G. Zohouri, E. Koffi Vinette, Hakim Dongopandji
Angers 4-2-3-1
- 1 Anthony Lopes (G)
- 2 C. Arcus (D)
- 4 O. Camara (D)
- 8 B. van den Boomen (M)
- 10 A. Sbaï (M)
- 14 Y. Belkhdim (M)
- 17 J. Kalulu (D)
- 18 J. Allevinah (M)
- 19 A. El Ouazzani (F)
- 21 J. Lefort (D)
- 36 Bane Diatta (M)
Bench: M. Zinga, A. Bermont, E. Biumla, Djibirin Harouna, Marius Louër, U. Simbakoli, L. Mouton, P. Peter, L. Rao-Lisoa
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance Le Havre or draw | 1.44 | 65.5% | -6.7 pts |
| Double chance Angers or draw | 1.48 | 63.6% | +6.4 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.33 | 70.9% | +0.3 pts |
| Draw no bet — Le Havre | 1.83 | 51.1% | -8.3 pts |
| Draw no bet — Angers | 1.92 | 48.9% | +8.3 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.29 | 72.9% | +5.1 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.94 | 49.4% | +6.1 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.20 | 29.3% | +5.7 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.68 | 55.4% | +6.5 pts |
| Le Havre over 1.5 team goals | 2.39 | 39.3% | -0.3 pts |
| Angers over 1.5 team goals | 2.46 | 38.2% | +9.5 pts |
| Le Havre clean sheet | 3.25 | 29.0% | -6.4 pts |
| Angers clean sheet | 3.25 | 29.0% | +2.3 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 5.83 · 1-0 8.38 · 0-1 8.59 · 2-1 9.26 · 0-0 9.35
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-09-12 18:30 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).
Head to head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr 26 | Angers | 1-1 | Le Havre |
| 04 Jan 26 | Le Havre | 2-1 | Angers |