Preston 0–1 Lincoln
What the chances were worth
The brain read
An even contest on the shot picture — shots 11–9, 3–3 on target, 7–6 from inside the box. Match xG wasn't available for this game, so this read is built on the shot picture only.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
Confirmed line-ups
Captured from the official team sheets in the last hour before kick-off. The pick test requires these to be in before any call counts.
Preston 4-4-2
- 1 D. Iversen (G)
- 3 A. Vukčević (D)
- 4 H. Clarke (M)
- 7 A. Devine (M)
- 10 C. Lang (F)
- 14 J. Storey (D)
- 15 J. Thompson (M)
- 17 S. Mills (M)
- 20 L. Gibbs (D)
- 24 O. Offiah (D)
- 38 J. Kenny (F)
Bench: L. Nicholls, T. Small, Pol Valentín, D. Burgzorg, J. Erabi, A. Hughes, L. Leroy, L. Lindsay, A. Moran
Lincoln 3-4-2-1
- 1 G. Wickens (G)
- 3 A. Reach (M)
- 4 A. Coubiș (D)
- 7 R. Hackett (M)
- 8 T. Bayliss (M)
- 14 C. McGrandles (M)
- 15 S. Bradley (D)
- 17 R. Street (F)
- 18 B. House (M)
- 25 D. Elerewe (D)
- 33 D. Oyegoke (M)
Bench: I. Varfolomeev, F. Draper, J. Gauci, D. Jefferies, Y. Konak, C. Ogbene, I. Olaofe, M. Ladefoged, R. Towler
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance Preston or draw | 1.37 | 67.9% | +0.2 pts |
| Double chance Lincoln or draw | 1.57 | 59.2% | +0.1 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.28 | 72.8% | -0.3 pts |
| Draw no bet — Preston | 1.67 | 55.8% | -0.3 pts |
| Draw no bet — Lincoln | 2.11 | 44.2% | +0.3 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.26 | 74.3% | +0.0 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.84 | 51.6% | +0.1 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.00 | 31.2% | +0.5 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.65 | 56.4% | +0.4 pts |
| Preston over 1.5 team goals | 2.16 | 43.3% | -0.2 pts |
| Lincoln over 1.5 team goals | 2.52 | 37.2% | +0.1 pts |
| Preston clean sheet | 3.25 | 29.0% | +0.8 pts |
| Lincoln clean sheet | 3.75 | 25.0% | +1.1 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 6.42 · 1-0 8.28 · 2-1 8.79 · 0-1 9.57 · 1-2 10.23
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-09-12 13:30 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).