Vicenza Virtus 1–1 Juve Stabia
What the chances were worth
The brain read
Juve Stabia carried the greater threat — shots 7–14, 2–7 on target, 5–8 from inside the box. Match xG wasn't available for this game, so this read is built on the shot picture only.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
Confirmed line-ups
Captured from the official team sheets in the last hour before kick-off. The pick test requires these to be in before any call counts.
Vicenza Virtus 3-5-2
- 4 M. Carraro (M)
- 9 C. Morra (F)
- 10 M. Valoti (M)
- 14 G. Cuomo (D)
- 16 R. Gagno (G)
- 21 T. Corazza (M)
- 23 N. Brighenti (D)
- 27 T. Sandon (D)
- 28 L. Caferri (M)
- 29 L. Zonta (M)
- 33 S. Merkaj (F)
Bench: M. Leverbe, R. Marchizza, G. Moncini, M. Vescovi, A. Papetti, G. Pellizzari, A. Bellemo, A. Pietrelli, N. Rauti, R. Talarico, E. Tantalocchi, Filippo Alessio
Juve Stabia 4-3-3
- 6 M. Bellich (D)
- 7 Nicola Patanè (F)
- 8 D. Buglio (M)
- 9 Antonio Di Nardo (F)
- 10 C. Pierobon (M)
- 17 N. Karić (M)
- 19 N. Pietrangeli (D)
- 23 P. Boer (G)
- 27 L. Candellone (F)
- 73 G. Scuderi (D)
- 96 T. Maggioni (D)
Bench: F. Artioli, M. Baldi, T. Battistella, D. Bettella, L. Caccavo, T. Douglas, J. Kumi, F. Maistro, K. Piscopo, M. Ricciardi, G. Sibilli, P. Vismara
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance Vicenza Virtus or draw | 1.25 | 75.0% | -0.5 pts |
| Double chance Juve Stabia or draw | 1.75 | 53.5% | -0.6 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.31 | 71.5% | +1.0 pts |
| Draw no bet — Vicenza Virtus | 1.42 | 65.0% | +1.2 pts |
| Draw no bet — Juve Stabia | 2.65 | 35.0% | -1.2 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.30 | 71.4% | +5.2 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.00 | 47.4% | +6.2 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.40 | 27.5% | +5.0 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.79 | 52.0% | +4.8 pts |
| Vicenza Virtus over 1.5 team goals | 2.10 | 44.6% | +3.9 pts |
| Juve Stabia over 1.5 team goals | 3.24 | 28.9% | +3.6 pts |
| Vicenza Virtus clean sheet | 2.38 | 39.1% | -2.0 pts |
| Juve Stabia clean sheet | 3.75 | 25.0% | -2.7 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 5.93 · 1-0 6.72 · 2-1 8.35 · 0-0 8.46 · 2-0 9.39
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-09-12 12:31 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).