Arouca 1–2 Santa Clara

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What the chances were worth

The scoreline says 1–2; by chance quality the match ran 0.72–1.16.

The brain read

Santa Clara created the better chances — the xG read 0.7–1.2, with the shot count roughly even (10–12, 4–5 on target). Arouca held 64% of the ball. Santa Clara's finishing ran hot — 2 from 1.2 xG, 5 of 12 shots on target (a finishing read inferred from shots on target and goals vs xG — not measured shot placement). On the balance of chances, the 1–2 reads fair.

A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.

The match in numbers

As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.