FootballEdgeSeason 2026/27Self-updating record
Full time · Premier League · Sun 13 Sep 2026, 14:00 UTC

Coventry 05 Brighton

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What the chances were worth

No expected-goals numbers captured for this match.

The brain read

Brighton carried the greater threat — shots 14–22, 6–7 on target, 12–14 from inside the box. Match xG wasn't available for this game, so this read is built on the shot picture only. Brighton held 69% of the ball.

A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.

The match in numbers

Coventry
Brighton
31%
Ball Possession
69%
14
Total Shots
22
6
Shots on Goal
7
6
Shots off Goal
10
2
Blocked Shots
5
12
Shots inside box
14
2
Shots outside box
8
5
Corner Kicks
3
2
Offsides
2
246
Total passes
570
175
Passes accurate
512
9
Fouls
15
0
Yellow Cards
0
1
Red Cards
0
2
Goalkeeper Saves
6
14
Free Kicks
9

As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.

The market’s read

Coventry
24%
market implied · price 3.92 · opened 23%
Draw
25%
market implied · price 3.77 · opened 26%
Brighton
50%
market implied · price 1.89 · opened 51%
MarketConsensus priceImplied chanceMove
Double chance Coventry or draw1.9049.7%+1.7 pts
Double chance Brighton or draw1.2575.3%-1.8 pts
Double chance either team1.2675.0%+0.1 pts
Draw no bet — Coventry2.8033.2%+2.2 pts
Draw no bet — Brighton1.3966.8%-2.2 pts
Over 1.5 goals1.2177.6%+2.0 pts
Over 2.5 goals1.7255.6%+2.2 pts
Over 3.5 goals2.6834.9%+2.5 pts
Both teams to score1.6158.1%+2.7 pts
Coventry over 1.5 team goals2.8033.5%+2.9 pts
Brighton over 1.5 team goals1.7753.2%+0.9 pts
Coventry clean sheet5.0019.0%+0.7 pts
Brighton clean sheet3.0031.2%-4.0 pts

Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 6.98 · 1-2 7.99 · 0-1 8.29 · 0-2 9.74 · 2-1 12.44

Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-09-13 12:30 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).

Prices are observations, not offers. Each price is the average across the bookmakers the collector sees, and the implied chance is that price with the bookmaker’s margin stripped out. The market’s read is published so the model’s read can be judged against it — nothing here is advice, and nothing here is staked.