Sporting Gijon 0–1 Eldense
What the chances were worth
The brain read
Sporting Gijon carried the greater threat — shots 12–8, 3–2 on target, 9–2 from inside the box. Match xG wasn't available for this game, so this read is built on the shot picture only.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
Confirmed line-ups
Captured from the official team sheets in the last hour before kick-off. The pick test requires these to be in before any call counts.
Sporting Gijon 4-4-2
- 1 Rubén Yáñez (G)
- 2 Guille Rosas (D)
- 6 Nacho Martín (M)
- 10 César Gelabert (M)
- 14 Álex Corredera (M)
- 15 Pablo Vázquez (D)
- 16 A. Sarco (F)
- 19 J. Otero (F)
- 20 N. Iosifov (M)
- 24 Aimar Duñabeitia (D)
- 44 Andrés Cuenca (D)
Bench: Antonio Casas, Pablo García, E. Gularte, M. Loum, Iker Martínez, Enol Prendes, B. Rubio, Jorge Sáenz, Diego Sánchez, K. de La Fuente, Arana
Eldense 4-2-3-1
- 1 Ramón Vila (G)
- 4 F. Smand (D)
- 5 Alex Serradell (D)
- 10 Fidel (M)
- 11 Manu Nieto (F)
- 12 Roberto López (M)
- 14 J. Smith (M)
- 15 Carlos Guirao (M)
- 19 A. Ibarrondo (D)
- 21 D. Ruiz (D)
- 33 Aingeru Olabarrieta (M)
Bench: J. Yanda, Waldo Rubio, Iker Recio, Jorge Rastrojo, Dinis Rodrigues, Juanpa, Javi Martínez, Guillermo Macho, Juan Larios
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance Sporting Gijon or draw | 1.14 | 81.7% | +2.1 pts |
| Double chance Eldense or draw | 2.18 | 42.9% | -2.4 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.24 | 75.4% | +0.2 pts |
| Draw no bet — Sporting Gijon | 1.23 | 75.7% | +3.1 pts |
| Draw no bet — Eldense | 3.84 | 24.3% | -3.1 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.30 | 72.0% | -0.8 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.00 | 47.3% | -1.4 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.42 | 27.3% | -1.2 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.92 | 48.3% | -2.2 pts |
| Sporting Gijon over 1.5 team goals | 1.81 | 51.4% | -0.1 pts |
| Eldense over 1.5 team goals | 4.16 | 22.4% | -2.5 pts |
| Sporting Gijon clean sheet | 2.10 | 44.3% | +1.9 pts |
| Eldense clean sheet | 4.50 | 20.8% | +0.0 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-0 5.83 · 1-1 6.60 · 2-0 6.97 · 2-1 7.70 · 0-0 8.82
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-09-13 11:30 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).