FootballEdgeSeason 2026/27Self-updating record
Full time · La Liga 2 · Sun 13 Sep 2026, 15:15 UTC

Valladolid 03 Oviedo

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What the chances were worth

No expected-goals numbers captured for this match.

The brain read

Oviedo carried the greater threat — shots 13–12, 1–6 on target, 7–6 from inside the box. Match xG wasn't available for this game, so this read is built on the shot picture only.

A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.

The match in numbers

Valladolid
Oviedo
60%
Ball Possession
40%
13
Total Shots
12
1
Shots on Goal
6
8
Shots off Goal
6
4
Blocked Shots
0
7
Shots inside box
6
6
Shots outside box
6
2
Corner Kicks
3
0
Offsides
7
521
Total passes
378
433
Passes accurate
287
10
Fouls
12
2
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
4
Goalkeeper Saves
1
11
Free Kicks
7

As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.

Confirmed line-ups

Captured from the official team sheets in the last hour before kick-off. The pick test requires these to be in before any call counts.

Valladolid 4-2-3-1

  1. 1 Álvaro Aceves (G)
  2. 4 David Torres (D)
  3. 5 Ramón Martínez (D)
  4. 7 Luis Chacón (M)
  5. 14 Iván Alejo (D)
  6. 16 Álex Balboa (M)
  7. 18 Clerc (D)
  8. 20 R. Duiven (F)
  9. 21 J. Ponceau (M)
  10. 22 K. de Rooij (M)
  11. 23 T. Abed (M)

Bench: Víctor Fernández, Homam Ahmed, Adrian Arnuncio, Victor Barberá, Yeray Cabanzón, Iván Garriel, S. Jurić, Juanmi Latasa, L. Lavagnino, Marcos Parriego, Pablo Tomeo, Trilli

Oviedo 4-2-3-1

  1. 2 Aisar (D)
  2. 3 Juan Cruz (D)
  3. 5 Y. Didi (M)
  4. 6 Dani Villahermosa (M)
  5. 8 Mikel Goti (M)
  6. 10 Alberto Reina (M)
  7. 12 Dani Calvo (D)
  8. 13 Aarón Escandell (G)
  9. 20 Pablo Sáenz (M)
  10. 23 Carlos Domínguez (D)
  11. 24 A. Ișfan (F)

Bench: Marco Esteban, V. Mingo, Jacobo González, David Jiménez, D. Menendez, Estanis, Enzo Perez, S. Rodriguez, Miguel Narváez

The market’s read

Valladolid
37%
market implied · price 2.52 · opened 38%
Draw
31%
market implied · price 2.96 · opened 31%
Oviedo
32%
market implied · price 2.92 · opened 30%
MarketConsensus priceImplied chanceMove
Double chance Valladolid or draw1.3668.5%-1.1 pts
Double chance Oviedo or draw1.4962.9%+1.6 pts
Double chance either team1.3668.6%-0.5 pts
Draw no bet — Valladolid1.7254.2%-1.7 pts
Draw no bet — Oviedo2.0445.8%+1.7 pts
Over 1.5 goals1.4664.5%+0.9 pts
Over 2.5 goals2.4139.0%+0.4 pts
Over 3.5 goals4.6420.1%+0.3 pts
Both teams to score1.9946.6%+0.8 pts
Valladolid over 1.5 team goals2.8332.8%-0.9 pts
Oviedo over 1.5 team goals3.1829.2%+1.1 pts
Valladolid clean sheet2.5037.5%+0.0 pts
Oviedo clean sheet3.0031.2%-2.5 pts

Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 5.53 · 1-0 6.16 · 0-0 6.56 · 0-1 6.92 · 2-1 9.64

Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-09-13 14:00 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).

Prices are observations, not offers. Each price is the average across the bookmakers the collector sees, and the implied chance is that price with the bookmaker’s margin stripped out. The market’s read is published so the model’s read can be judged against it — nothing here is advice, and nothing here is staked.