Valladolid 0–3 Oviedo
What the chances were worth
The scoreline says 0–3; by chance quality the match ran 1.15–1.77.
The brain read
Oviedo created the better chances — the xG read 1.1–1.8 and the shot count agreed (13–12, 1–6 on target). Valladolid's finishing let them down — 0 from 1.1 xG despite 1 of 13 shots on target (a finishing read inferred from shots on target and goals vs xG — not measured shot placement). On the balance of chances, the 0–3 reads fair.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
Confirmed line-ups
Captured from the official team sheets in the last hour before kick-off. The pick test requires these to be in before any call counts.
Valladolid 4-2-3-1
- 1 Álvaro Aceves (G)
- 4 David Torres (D)
- 5 Ramón Martínez (D)
- 7 Luis Chacón (M)
- 14 Iván Alejo (D)
- 16 Álex Balboa (M)
- 18 Clerc (D)
- 20 R. Duiven (F)
- 21 J. Ponceau (M)
- 22 K. de Rooij (M)
- 23 T. Abed (M)
Bench: Víctor Fernández, Homam Ahmed, Adrian Arnuncio, Victor Barberá, Yeray Cabanzón, Iván Garriel, S. Jurić, Juanmi Latasa, L. Lavagnino, Marcos Parriego, Pablo Tomeo, Trilli
Oviedo 4-2-3-1
- 2 Aisar (D)
- 3 Juan Cruz (D)
- 5 Y. Didi (M)
- 6 Dani Villahermosa (M)
- 8 Mikel Goti (M)
- 10 Alberto Reina (M)
- 12 Dani Calvo (D)
- 13 Aarón Escandell (G)
- 20 Pablo Sáenz (M)
- 23 Carlos Domínguez (D)
- 24 A. Ișfan (F)
Bench: Marco Esteban, V. Mingo, Jacobo González, David Jiménez, D. Menendez, Estanis, Enzo Perez, S. Rodriguez, Miguel Narváez
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance Valladolid or draw | 1.36 | 68.5% | -1.1 pts |
| Double chance Oviedo or draw | 1.49 | 62.9% | +1.6 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.36 | 68.6% | -0.5 pts |
| Draw no bet — Valladolid | 1.72 | 54.2% | -1.7 pts |
| Draw no bet — Oviedo | 2.04 | 45.8% | +1.7 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.46 | 64.5% | +0.9 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.41 | 39.0% | +0.4 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 4.64 | 20.1% | +0.3 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.99 | 46.6% | +0.8 pts |
| Valladolid over 1.5 team goals | 2.83 | 32.8% | -0.9 pts |
| Oviedo over 1.5 team goals | 3.18 | 29.2% | +1.1 pts |
| Valladolid clean sheet | 2.50 | 37.5% | +0.0 pts |
| Oviedo clean sheet | 3.00 | 31.2% | -2.5 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 5.53 · 1-0 6.16 · 0-0 6.56 · 0-1 6.92 · 2-1 9.64
Prices are observations, not offers. Nothing here is advice or staked.
How to read this table
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-09-13 14:00 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).