VfL Osnabrück 1–3 Hertha BSC
What the chances were worth
The brain read
Hertha BSC carried the greater threat — shots 14–22, 7–7 on target, 9–14 from inside the box. Match xG wasn't available for this game, so this read is built on the shot picture only.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
Confirmed line-ups
Captured from the official team sheets in the last hour before kick-off. The pick test requires these to be in before any call counts.
VfL Osnabrück 3-4-2-1
- 8 L. Münst (M)
- 11 R. Meißner (F)
- 15 B. Jacobsen (M)
- 21 A. Beck (M)
- 24 J. Müller (D)
- 25 N. Wiemann (D)
- 26 F. Wagner (M)
- 27 R. Fabinski (D)
- 31 P. Kammerbauer (M)
- 32 J. Krumrey (G)
- 42 J. Gómez (M)
Bench: N. Sauter, B. Riesselmann, L. Raimund, L. Opitz, T. Lesueur, D. Kyereh, T. Janotta, K. Faber, J. Abu Hanna
Hertha BSC 4-2-3-1
- 2 J. Eitschberger (D)
- 7 J. Brekalo (M)
- 8 K. Sessa (M)
- 17 S. Grønning (F)
- 19 O. Adewumi (M)
- 22 M. Pedersen (D)
- 23 J. Þorsteinsson (M)
- 27 N. Kolbe (D)
- 35 M. Gersbeck (G)
- 41 P. Klemens (M)
- 44 L. Gechter (D)
Bench: Selim Telib, D. Zeefuik, Farid Alfa-Ruprecht, M. Dárdai, J. Diallo, T. Goller, S. Gouram, G. Nilsson, L. Schuler
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance VfL Osnabrück or draw | 1.73 | 54.3% | -1.0 pts |
| Double chance Hertha BSC or draw | 1.33 | 70.7% | +0.8 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.25 | 75.0% | +0.3 pts |
| Draw no bet — VfL Osnabrück | 2.31 | 40.2% | -0.1 pts |
| Draw no bet — Hertha BSC | 1.55 | 59.8% | +0.1 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.14 | 82.2% | +2.6 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.50 | 62.3% | +3.7 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.26 | 41.7% | +3.7 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.45 | 64.3% | +2.8 pts |
| VfL Osnabrück over 1.5 team goals | 2.20 | 42.7% | +2.5 pts |
| Hertha BSC over 1.5 team goals | 1.72 | 54.5% | +3.3 pts |
| VfL Osnabrück clean sheet | 5.50 | 17.2% | -3.6 pts |
| Hertha BSC clean sheet | 3.50 | 26.8% | -0.9 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 7.34 · 1-2 8.39 · 2-2 10.67 · 2-1 10.86 · 0-1 10.86
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-09-13 11:00 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).