Celta de Vigo II 0–4 Eibar
What the chances were worth
The brain read
Celta de Vigo II carried the greater threat — shots 24–12, 9–7 on target, 7–7 from inside the box. Match xG wasn't available for this game, so this read is built on the shot picture only. Celta de Vigo II held 65% of the ball.
A second opinion written by rule from the numbers on this page — where the shot picture and the xG disagree, it says so rather than picking a winner. Backward-looking only; it claims nothing about any future result.
The match in numbers
As returned by the data feed at full time. Bars show each side’s share of the stat.
Confirmed line-ups
Captured from the official team sheets in the last hour before kick-off. The pick test requires these to be in before any call counts.
Celta de Vigo II 3-4-3
- 1 Coke Carrillo (G)
- 3 K. Ribes (D)
- 9 A. Marin (F)
- 10 O. Marcos (F)
- 11 Ángel Arcos (F)
- 16 Adrià Capdevila (M)
- 18 Joel López (M)
- 20 A. Rodriguez (D)
- 21 Alexis Olmedo (D)
- 23 G. Miller (M)
- 29 M. Sobral (M)
Bench: Caio Barone, H. Cuenca, A. Davila Outerelo, P. Gavian, M. Gonzalez, P. Meixus, Vladimir Henrique Silva, A. Kibet, H. Lopez, S. M. Ndiaye, B. Somuah
Eibar 4-2-3-1
- 2 Sergio Cubero (D)
- 4 Unai Elgezabal (D)
- 7 Malcom Adu (M)
- 8 Ander Madariaga (M)
- 9 Jon Bautista (F)
- 10 Jon Guruzeta (M)
- 11 Jon Magunazelaia (M)
- 13 Jon Mikel (G)
- 18 M. Arana (D)
- 23 Anaitz Arbilla (D)
- 30 Aleix Garrido (M)
Bench: Elijah Gift Izobodo John, Iván Gil, Javi Martón, Oier Llorente, Pejiño, Álvaro Rodríguez, Haritz Ortuzar, Lucas Nuñez, Luis López
The market’s read
| Market | Consensus price | Implied chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance Celta de Vigo II or draw | 1.61 | 58.2% | +0.9 pts |
| Double chance Eibar or draw | 1.32 | 70.9% | -2.0 pts |
| Double chance either team | 1.32 | 70.9% | +1.2 pts |
| Draw no bet — Celta de Vigo II | 2.25 | 41.3% | +1.0 pts |
| Draw no bet — Eibar | 1.58 | 58.7% | -1.0 pts |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.31 | 71.4% | +1.7 pts |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.05 | 46.1% | +1.1 pts |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.49 | 26.8% | +1.0 pts |
| Both teams to score | 1.77 | 52.3% | +1.3 pts |
| Celta de Vigo II over 1.5 team goals | 2.92 | 31.9% | +2.0 pts |
| Eibar over 1.5 team goals | 2.24 | 41.6% | +1.0 pts |
| Celta de Vigo II clean sheet | 3.75 | 25.0% | -1.8 pts |
| Eibar clean sheet | 2.75 | 33.7% | -1.7 pts |
Shortest-priced scorelines: 1-1 5.69 · 0-1 6.91 · 0-0 8.36 · 1-2 8.70 · 1-0 8.72
Consensus of bookmaker prices captured 2026-09-14 18:00 UTC. These are the closing prices — the market’s last word before kick-off. The Move column is how each market’s implied chance has shifted since the first price we captured: green = the chance has risen (the price shortened, backing coming in), red = the chance has fallen (the price eased out — what punters call the price ‘drifting’).